MLB · resolved market
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb38ba7c837c855c4ef093e81f2b2078dba38484bf1c3ee66bac1a44434cd4980
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Giantsof Pittsburgh Pirates, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed San Francisco Giants | 65c | 2,020$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.82 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 1,698$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.49 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 1,676$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.47 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 1,274$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.08 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Francisco Giants | 64c | 1,110$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.33 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 1,030$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 869.2$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.49 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 22c | 718.68$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.22 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 534.69$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.52 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Francisco Giants | 64c | 378.61$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 377.93$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.94 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked San Francisco Giants | 64c | 275.87$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.31 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 233.9$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.29 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 199.71$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 199.23$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.27 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 198$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a52…baafbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 191.4$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed San Francisco Giants | 64c | 170$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked San Francisco Giants | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 153$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.07 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 20c | 139.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed San Francisco Giants | 64c | 136.46$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.13 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked San Francisco Giants | 57c | 132.92$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -8.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 116.26$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 108.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 88.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked San Francisco Giants | 64c | 80.36$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 80c | 75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 84 | 84.5%71 W · 13 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 76cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 73.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 67.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed San Francisco Giants | 64c | 64.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked San Francisco Giants | 64c | 62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed San Francisco Giants | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 59.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed San Francisco Giants | 74c | 49.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f77…32cdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…cbf2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 39.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…7dcbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 37.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked San Francisco Giants | 65c | 34.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 33.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 32.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 32.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 32.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…be70backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 32.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked San Francisco Giants | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…3d4dbacked San Francisco Giants | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 174 | 50.6%88 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 28.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked San Francisco Giants | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed San Francisco Giants | 79c | 25.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 20.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked San Francisco Giants | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco GiantsSan Francisco Giants won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.