Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9a1b5814e0016a87dd9b6a5920d6583b5d86f822578179150791fb4e044741a

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: May 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $51,493
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $59,543

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,493 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xac47…d234backed Over	46c	12,958$5,936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,935.65	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	60c	9,149$5,466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,683.39	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over	27c	5,700$1,555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,554.55	118	28%33 W · 85 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under	72c	4,001$2,873 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,128.36	58	51.7%30 W · 28 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	73c	3,596$2,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$956.03	886	35.8%317 W · 569 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	61c	2,183$1,339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$844	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under	72c	2,173$1,558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$615.04	38	71.1%27 W · 11 L	+4.0wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over	28c	1,039$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291	133	53.4%71 W · 62 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over	32c	999.95$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.99	45	33.3%15 W · 30 L	-3.8wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under	53c	943.4$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$443.4	81	16%13 W · 68 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over	21c	700$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.82	137	21.2%29 W · 108 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecee…2120backed Under	67c	522.39$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.39	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	22c	467.43$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.86	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over	32c	452.31$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.74	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa53f…8c53backed Under	68c	441.18$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.18	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over	33c	436.48$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.04	181	56.4%102 W · 79 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Under	70c	372.86$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.86	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.11per pick	59cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	68c	356.52$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115	746	44.8%334 W · 412 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	68c	355.97$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.96	850	48.4%411 W · 439 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over	44c	299.99$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	78c	299.02$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.86	117	53%62 W · 55 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over	45c	291.64$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.24	77	59.7%46 W · 31 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc283…b876backed Over	30c	277.65$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.96	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+3.6wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+102.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8ea1…c38ebacked Over	42c	240$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-36%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	71c	237.6$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.91	578	33%191 W · 387 L	-29.9wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Over	31c	230$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.3	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+5.5wins	+0.18per pick	44cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4c3f…32b2backed Under	58c	217.24$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.24	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Under	74c	206.97$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.3	69	60.9%42 W · 27 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	55c	196.89$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.55	592	47.6%282 W · 310 L	+18.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Under	76c	184.21$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.21	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked Under	68c	176.47$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.47	82	63.4%52 W · 30 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	65cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under	60c	167.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.69	288	59.7%172 W · 116 L	+19.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+13%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over	32c	149.98$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.74	396	51.5%204 W · 192 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf474…2775backed Under	67c	133.34$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.34	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	65cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fd…3914backed Over	36c	133.33$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f77…32cdbacked Under	54c	111.2$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.2	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under	60c	102.75$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.69	183	58.5%107 W · 76 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Over	39c	102.56$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	452	24.8%112 W · 340 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked Under	75c	100$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Under	77c	100$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	32	78.1%25 W · 7 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	70cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed Under	67c	99.99$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	56	51.8%29 W · 27 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over	45c	97.21$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.74	65	60%39 W · 26 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed35…84fbbacked Under	59c	93.86$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.65	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a37…4daebacked Over	33c	90.91$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-5.2wins	-0.28per pick	49cpaid	-58%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc23b…d300backed Under	55c	90.91$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.91	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	29c	88.62$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.7	357	43.1%154 W · 203 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c9c…0f82backed Under	68c	80.81$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.86	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.14per pick	61cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbecf…0f51backed Under	70c	71.43$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.43	37	67.6%25 W · 12 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed Over	30c	71.4$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.42	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	67c	51.35$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.69	335	51.3%172 W · 163 L	+11.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over	33c	50.48$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.76	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under	72c	50.45$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.1	365	45.2%165 W · 200 L	-14.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed Over	29c	50.17$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.55	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under	70c	50$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.76	226	45.6%103 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over	29c	45.07$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.22	221	46.2%102 W · 119 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Under	68c	36.53$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.69	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over	45c	35.16$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.82	162	36.4%59 W · 103 L	-13.2wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	54c	35$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.1	1,012	33.2%336 W · 676 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Under	60c	32.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.94	43	60.5%26 W · 17 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Under	67c	29.57$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.76	118	58.5%69 W · 49 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6b…8ffabacked Under	67c	29.57$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.76	32	81.3%26 W · 6 L	+6.7wins	+0.21per pick	60cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under	67c	29.41$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.71	212	50.9%108 W · 104 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Under	61c	28.37$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.11	86	44.2%38 W · 48 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked Under	66c	24.93$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.49	129	63.6%82 W · 47 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under	66c	18.01$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.14	245	57.6%141 W · 104 L	+13.3wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under	58c	17.67$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.34	125	61.6%77 W · 48 L	+8.3wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Under	67c	15.26$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.11	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5this page
Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 0.5Over won
Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Southampton FC won
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)Southampton FC won
Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
Spread: Southampton FC (-2.5)Middlesbrough FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event