TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$452,114
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$463,798

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $452,114 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x15ac…f3babacked Over0c337,525$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5583345.5%15 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c18,802$9,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,359.26,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over45c14,704$6,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,616.794841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x46c8…fbbcbacked Over0c12,730$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8374…f183backed Over0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-41.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Under46c5,421$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,921.442653.8%14 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+40.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,12034428.8%99 W · 245 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under21c3,147$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,501.538116%13 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4064…f741backed Over55c2,743$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under22c2,731$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,130.315552.7%29 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over53c2,137$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.6385048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under47c1,953$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.81866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+37.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under23c1,855$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.054240.5%17 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over54c1,604$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.5611437.7%43 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over73c1,478$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.796446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c1,444$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.134,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under44c1,393$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.8981234.7%282 W · 530 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over54c1,245$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.516139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ed1…1657backed Under47c1,184$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked Under46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.961566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+42.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6109056.7%51 W · 39 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under32c937.66$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.6610850.9%55 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd324…69b2backed Over78c897.44$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under78c641.77$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.7714949%73 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x780f…5f16backed Over78c641.03$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over66c613.64$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40517161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under58c574.35$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.4274644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over70c572.86$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012281.8%18 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over52c569.23$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2966451.6%33 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under48c555$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.632037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed36…33d5backed Under49c510.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.21566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x73c2…4261backed Over54c510$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.41225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17531648.7%154 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29513721.2%29 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17526548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over22c455.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over51c438.96$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.874533.3%15 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under47c430.53$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.4835941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over50c393.31$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.662766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under49c392.08$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.469742.5%296 W · 401 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under52c387.17$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.7211753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb391…49e7backed Over52c385.73$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.58425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Over10c380$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3812047.5%57 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under45c325.02$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.1554132.9%178 W · 363 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa68…8d45backed Under47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.152213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-42.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over53c314.15$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.51,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under47c310.57$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.151,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over60c280$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1683971.8%28 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39fd…3914backed Over65c275.41$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.211442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Over70c271.43$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under47c270$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.22,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over57c265$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.5514463.9%92 W · 52 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x061e…6a2cbacked Under46c244.97$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.07757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16e5…6373backed Over46c240$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.41546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under59c223.53$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.657037.1%26 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6021…4c5cbacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d7…47cbbacked Over72c208.3$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.981030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over44c204.55$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9023632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over54c195.51$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.611,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over70c185.71$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006560%39 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007150.7%36 W · 35 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over55c180.91$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.59957.6%57 W · 42 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under56c179.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.615952.8%84 W · 75 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over76c174.13$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.3435347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over53c166$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9827752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over53c158.05$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.191,58953.3%847 W · 742 L+39.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2e…6da4backed Under46c152.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.622737%10 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f19…6aabbacked Over53c143.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.45742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over54c134.17$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0132951.4%169 W · 160 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over52c133.49$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.415650%28 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x788c…8c15backed Over78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c9c…0f82backed Under47c123.26$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over78c118$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0415263.2%96 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over53c111.41$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1122146.2%102 W · 119 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over73c109.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8028654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24a3…7c66backed Over60c108.72$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d9a…c3acbacked Under46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.71154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5315738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Under45c99.97$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.987647.4%36 W · 40 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c3f…32b2backed Under31c96.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.772650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under48c93.48$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6140655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9113550.4%68 W · 67 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.964740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ed5…2aa3backed Over52c86.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Over55c86.21$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.422955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed Under47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.112740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over53c81.56$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5680853.6%433 W · 375 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under48c73.49$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.288441.7%35 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ba…ce43backed Over56c73.21$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under59c67.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9728859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over54c65.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.224742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04ed…5694backed Under46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.223354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under44c64.88$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5436545.2%165 W · 200 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d63…aa21backed Over55c63.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352751.9%14 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over45c63.05$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6915858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc59c…6b58backed Over53c58.49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.