Premier League · resolved market
Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb673ca8fc574f463c78202db4e40bca4b6558dec665ddb23c4b21e5be1f2650
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 1,842$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.11 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 15c | 1,265$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.75 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 14c | 1,060$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.72 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 17c | 750.82$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.59 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 3c | 650.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 16c | 339.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 17c | 232.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Over | 16c | 208.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 17c | 205.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Over | 14c | 121.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Over | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 15c | 97.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-2.5)Middlesbrough FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.