Premier League · resolved market
Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bfa8e7f9da4beb2fb5bae4d79db0f65fa9592667894161584565e9b3cd2dd9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 42c | 11,905$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 58c | 8,769$5,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,712.82 | 162 | 37.7%61 W · 101 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 58c | 3,437$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.75 | 532 | 40%213 W · 319 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 42c | 490.56$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.15 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…994abacked Yes | 74c | 405.58$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed1…1657backed Yes | 58c | 345.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…995ebacked No | 30c | 334.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.93 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 41c | 316.42$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.89 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Yes | 57c | 217.27$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.43 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 58c | 196.9$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.68 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 60c | 165.83$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 73c | 163.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 58c | 144.74$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 41c | 132$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 58c | 110.77$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 61c | 101.64$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Yes | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 26c | 93.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 58c | 91.23$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 78c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 41c | 89.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 584 | 46.1%269 W · 315 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 58c | 75.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 808 | 53.6%433 W · 375 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 67c | 52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 697 | 42.5%296 W · 401 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 42c | 50.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…82b5backed Yes | 59c | 50.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d12…fecabacked Yes | 59c | 41.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…f222backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…3b90backed Yes | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…efaabacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 41c | 33.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 41c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa44…752abacked Yes | 60c | 32.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa555…7594backed No | 42c | 27.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 74c | 14.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-2.5)Middlesbrough FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.