TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xed35…84fb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: La Liga, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 59 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Navabacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$9.39
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.4
Bordeaux: Raphael Collignon vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.43
Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Ognjen Milicbacked Keegan Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$12.26
Parma: Dominika Salkova vs Camila Osoriobacked Dominika Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.67
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$82.75
Cordoba: Miguel Tobon vs Andrea Collarinibacked Andrea Collarini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.86
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.45
Oeiras 4: Facundo Acosta vs Hugo Dellienbacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.58
Cordoba: Samuel Linde vs Tomas Farjatbacked Samuel Linde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+107.6%+$11.37
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Martin Landalucebacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.98
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.03
Paris: Anna Blinkova vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.79
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.35
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$17.14
Bengaluru 2: Omar Jasika vs Hamish Stewartbacked Hamish Stewart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$21.12
Bengaluru 2: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Sasikumar Mukundbacked Sasikumar Mukund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$22.97
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.95
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$15.64
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mattia Bellucci vs Martin Landalucebacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.57
All 22 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$11.31
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$43.32
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.72
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.92
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+97.3%+$148.74
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$6.89
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.72
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$36.61
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+105%+$38.18
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.33
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed CA Osasuna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$3.78
Will CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.95
CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$3.53
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)backed Elche CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+51%+$8.37
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.03
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+90.3%+$20.44
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$9.62
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.29
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+139.2%+$102.3
Will Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.22
Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.39
Will Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$88.94
Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.22
Will Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$16.72
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+126.6%+$16.61
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.91
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Nottingham Forest FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$39.28
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$4.99
Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+147%+$26.62
Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+70%+$38.65
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.42
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.68
Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.43
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+141%+$24.19
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.05
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$16.07
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$4.79
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.51
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.66
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$26.87
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+121.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$9.35
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+95.3%+$29.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trabzonspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$10.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.