TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,282
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,979

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,282 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over33c30,684$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0006832.4%22 W · 46 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under73c9,177$6,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,451.544,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under59c6,266$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,566.224141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under69c6,000$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,86015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a35…2580backed Over7c5,116$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.34452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under74c3,970$2,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.7156439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under68c3,627$2,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.671,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under68c3,505$2,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.835442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over33c3,105$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.7912132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc283…b876backed Over32c2,453$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.082222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over25c2,425$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.43,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under67c2,153$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.5310948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under67c2,058$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.086261.3%38 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under59c2,000$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.356756.7%38 W · 29 L+9.8wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4fbc…095ebacked Over28c1,420$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.94633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over44c1,071$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4684440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over7c999.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70156.7%1 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick28cpaid-80.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under68c920$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.448251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over7c907.46$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5249057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under67c600$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19863757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under67c522.39$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.1522658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Under67c517.35$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.7314250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959423.4%22 W · 72 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under67c499.98$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.9945250.2%227 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over32c486.66$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.674753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under72c416.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9223152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under67c411.27$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3369350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Over33c371.9$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.162254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+28.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over23c371.83$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8783640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under68c353.34$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.6168050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Over6c328.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204376.7%33 W · 10 L+9.8wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+46.5%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x40db…7980backed Under68c326$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.581060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…8ab1backed Under75c298.67$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.67580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over34c294.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9943439.6%172 W · 262 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under76c255.12$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9292345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6afc…f7ddbacked Over4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under68c243.13$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.810843.5%47 W · 61 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b6…bb95backed Under59c237.29$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.29771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Over31c230$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.33339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Over6c208.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.55366%35 W · 18 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under80c206.15$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.353262.5%20 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Over32c183.38$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.682045%9 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked Under70c174.29$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.292263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under67c172$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.761,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over6c171.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.56170.5%43 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+27.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under67c168.74$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.951,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abb…bf93backed Over7c166.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.67683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.44per pick39cpaid+216.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xde28…8d20backed Over6c165.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb51b…78a9backed Under67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.36per pick48cpaid+52.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Under58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638347%39 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Under77c149.35$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.352821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.892576%19 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+16.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under80c135$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2721139.8%84 W · 127 L-15.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Over26c122.15$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.763748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2bd6…fd33backed Under68c119.65$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over11c117.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5116348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over32c117.05$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382445.8%11 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+54%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under69c114.03$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3513347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under77c113.05$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2674457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a6b…68a0backed Over11c111.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under76c108.41$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4822760.4%137 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe762…064bbacked Under58c105$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.024242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Under68c88.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7719461.9%120 W · 74 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62ee…1183backed Under80c87.69$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.691050%5 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over17c82.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149622.9%22 W · 74 L-8.5wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over32c78.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2549228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75ba…cf3fbacked Under71c70.54$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over41c69.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6659555.5%330 W · 265 L+31.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Over19c68.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.954247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Under59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.83842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf474…2775backed Under68c67.18$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.522085%17 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over19c65.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.520341.9%85 W · 118 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc311…c154backed Under77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.943461.8%21 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Under70c63.69$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.294252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x738f…20e8backed Over31c62.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Under79c61.79$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.856969.6%48 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed Under71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.253262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under70c56.35$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8317960.3%108 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Under77c52.12$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1216962.1%105 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ba…ce43backed Under73c50.68$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.68955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over31c50.58$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.685650%28 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under74c49.95$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9922553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29a1…5645backed Under58c45$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.92751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1af3…fbe3backed Over32c44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.081723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-53.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Under69c43.52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.494259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under76c43$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3726154.4%142 W · 119 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5b…c757backed Under61c40.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.82742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.43762.2%23 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Under67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.25263.5%33 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over31c35.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111236.6%41 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ba…5701backed Over31c35.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under58c35.44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8820241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under69c34.78$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.783100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked Under77c31.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3211366.4%75 W · 38 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under69c30.63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.52065%13 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad61…5a26backed Under68c30.53$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.77785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9808…5cfdbacked Under69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991070%7 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Under69c28.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.917061.2%104 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Under63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.814555.6%25 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bfc…8eb3backed Under69c22.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.961723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-63.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.