La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf04df100602ff12d8e0f2594fa847ce364efc1b6e2013f3deef9cf84bdf3b649
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CA Osasunaof Club Atlético de Madrid, CA Osasuna
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CA Osasuna | 66c | 10,877$7,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,717.21 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 27c | 7,277$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.24 | 564 | 39.2%221 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 18c | 2,677$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.9 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 61c | 1,863$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.36 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 25c | 1,503$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.7 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed CA Osasuna | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 66 | 72.7%48 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 25c | 1,186$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 68c | 857.13$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.14 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CA Osasuna | 31c | 704.02$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.77 | 615 | 57.7%355 W · 260 L | +41.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 350.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…e4abbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 349.34$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.31 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 31c | 264.31$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.89 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 11c | 246.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 18c | 216.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 434 | 39.6%172 W · 262 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21b…0167backed CA Osasuna | 50c | 186$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 25c | 176.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed CA Osasuna | 30c | 169$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.48 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed CA Osasuna | 73c | 163$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 45c | 141$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 163 | 48.5%79 W · 84 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 27c | 137$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8ad0backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 72c | 136.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked CA Osasuna | 38c | 131.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.14 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 38c | 115.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed CA Osasuna | 30c | 109.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked CA Osasuna | 72c | 103.41$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked CA Osasuna | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed CA Osasuna | 51c | 68.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked CA Osasuna | 37c | 67.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 113 | 66.4%75 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed CA Osasuna | 76c | 64.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 40c | 61.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 33c | 50.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed CA Osasuna | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 261 | 54.4%142 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed CA Osasuna | 62c | 41.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 74c | 41.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abb…bf93backed CA Osasuna | 38c | 31.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 39cpaid | +216.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked CA Osasuna | 74c | 28.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed CA Osasuna | 75c | 21.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 595 | 55.5%330 W · 265 L | +31.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked CA Osasuna | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed35…84fbbacked CA Osasuna | 79c | 17.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…2241backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 71c | 14.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…3da2backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 71c | 14.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc7…2367backed CA Osasuna | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)this page
- CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.