La Liga · resolved market
CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a4dd7f01c3ac939978a5ff634220b05f7e4608baa36e297232a685285bce0ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec94…9053backed Under | 0c | 19,800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 8,910$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.08 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over | 78c | 7,500$5,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.99 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 10c | 6,467$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.93 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…f812backed Over | 73c | 2,037$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.55 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Over | 70c | 1,668$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.25 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 38c | 1,020$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.6 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 3c | 1,016$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 78c | 963.79$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.38 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 27c | 958.31$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.37 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Under | 9c | 787$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.42 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 66c | 621.21$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.21 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 64c | 505$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.6 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed Over | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 9c | 483.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 13c | 473.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 8c | 469.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 22c | 434.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.67 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 22c | 407.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.75 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 7c | 394$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 192 | 47.4%91 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 8c | 383.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 32c | 379.23$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.35 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 26c | 340$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 7c | 333.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 163 | 48.5%79 W · 84 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…e241backed Over | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 68c | 290$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7536…17fcbacked Over | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb3…93e8backed Under | 12c | 258.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…3efbbacked Over | 74c | 223.91$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 33c | 209.73$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.52 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 36c | 191.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 22c | 182$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 78c | 171.18$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 79c | 170$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 7c | 164.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 8c | 161$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | -15.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 77c | 148.05$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 22c | 138.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0a…c1d9backed Over | 68c | 132.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 72c | 132.06$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 70 | 72.9%51 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…b79ebacked Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 79c | 126$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Over | 75c | 110$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…7980backed Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 22c | 94.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a94…b06bbacked Over | 80c | 93.79$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ba…ce43backed Under | 25c | 91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 76c | 78.68$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8be…301abacked Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…a9f4backed Under | 22c | 62.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 76c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 65c | 59.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 130 | 70.8%92 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 26c | 56.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 22c | 54.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 22c | 51.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 70c | 50.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfc…8eb3backed Under | 38c | 47.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 24c | 45.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20fe…884cbacked Over | 68c | 43.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 31c | 40.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 77c | 32.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686b…ea8fbacked Over | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94ab…83f5backed Over | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 48 | 77.1%37 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25a…93d3backed Over | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…5e65backed Over | 78c | 31.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6177…c37abacked Over | 72c | 28.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…9633backed Over | 78c | 24.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x508b…9c09backed Over | 79c | 21.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Over | 78c | 20.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -11.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…4d25backed Over | 78c | 20.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 61c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 77c | 19.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf047…db3abacked Over | 80c | 17.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 76c | 16.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)CA Osasuna won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.