TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe25a…93d3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Asian League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick70cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.35
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$3.15
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$16.65
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.32
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.41
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.69
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.04
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.95
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.26
Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 2 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.51
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bonn: Jan Choinski vs Olle Wallinbacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.38
Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Bernard Tomicbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.36
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Milan: Gustavo Heide vs Alex Barrenabacked Gustavo Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.52
Wimbledon ATP: Jaume Munar vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Halle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.02
ITF Klosters: Eva Marie Voracek vs Petra Sedlackovabacked Eva Marie Voracek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.22
Halle Open: Joao Fonseca vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Grass Court Championships: Madison Keys vs Xinyu Wangbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.39
Halle Open: Nuno Borges vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$10.01
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertensbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.31
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.15
All 12 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1190.9%10 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick76cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Barcelonabacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.81
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$18.99
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanxi Loongsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$10.08
Monaco vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$15.59
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.5
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22.95
Monaco vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbannebacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$18.9
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.15
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Partizanbacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.3
Joventut vs. Gran Canariabacked Joventut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$24.8
Panathinaikos vs. Monacobacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$17.51
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick74cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brøndby IF vs. Viborg FF: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$60.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SV Darmstadt 98 vs. Hannover 96: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.07
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.