TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Grass Court Championships: Madison Keys vs Xinyu Wang

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Madison Keysof Madison Keys, Xinyu Wang
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$190,291
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$213,601

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,291 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f65…2036backed Xinyu Wang24c66,194$15,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,929.2275640.1%303 W · 453 L+0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Madison Keys76c39,200$29,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,361.799,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9d6…910dbacked Madison Keys77c10,907$8,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,480.99740.2%39 W · 58 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Madison Keys77c6,839$5,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.0194140.6%382 W · 559 L-31.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Madison Keys79c6,622$5,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.984,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d1a…e943backed Xinyu Wang10c5,232$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.5921524.7%53 W · 162 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Madison Keys75c5,000$3,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.3130542.6%130 W · 175 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Madison Keys73c4,915$3,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.0226847.8%128 W · 140 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Madison Keys73c4,258$3,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.861,27756.6%723 W · 554 L-19.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c50…e0c9backed Xinyu Wang34c4,118$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40042131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Xinyu Wang28c3,586$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.9831736.9%117 W · 200 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Xinyu Wang25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75068935%241 W · 448 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Madison Keys79c2,488$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.335,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed Xinyu Wang5c2,170$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4938911.6%45 W · 344 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Madison Keys77c2,078$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.333,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6262…b5c0backed Xinyu Wang27c2,003$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.883716.2%6 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Xinyu Wang39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78059348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c95…8a0bbacked Madison Keys75c1,805$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.1210655.7%59 W · 47 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Madison Keys79c1,682$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.612,32652.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L+85.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Madison Keys73c1,415$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.051,22953.1%653 W · 576 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Xinyu Wang24c1,285$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.3748630.9%150 W · 336 L+2.4wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Madison Keys78c1,269$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.654,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18ba…f577backed Xinyu Wang24c1,250$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006732.8%22 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e0…826dbacked Xinyu Wang26c1,200$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3124753.2%25 W · 22 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3f9…45a7backed Madison Keys72c1,119$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.2638066.3%252 W · 128 L-0.7wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Madison Keys76c1,111$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.6438550.4%194 W · 191 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Xinyu Wang28c1,067$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.31,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Xinyu Wang27c1,028$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.62,52138.4%969 W · 1,552 L+93.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Xinyu Wang27c999.99$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.612,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Xinyu Wang27c956.97$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.123,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Xinyu Wang21c931.14$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.545651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Madison Keys78c925$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.54,97538.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L-19.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Madison Keys77c846$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.814,65048.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Xinyu Wang24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024631.3%77 W · 169 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Xinyu Wang9c700$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6349740.6%202 W · 295 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Madison Keys24c631.98$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.641389.4%13 W · 125 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick4cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Xinyu Wang10c610$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.667131.3%210 W · 461 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Xinyu Wang25c600$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.427,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Madison Keys67c589.31$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.28,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Madison Keys78c544.99$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.915356.2%86 W · 67 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca4…348fbacked Xinyu Wang22c533.37$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.5829443.5%128 W · 166 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Xinyu Wang26c528.45$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.995,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Madison Keys74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13027132.1%87 W · 184 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Xinyu Wang26c475.66$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.051,88145.7%860 W · 1,021 L+51.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1f4…dd7cbacked Madison Keys76c417.75$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2710656.6%60 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28e0…2e6bbacked Xinyu Wang27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10852644.3%233 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Madison Keys76c400$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9627940.1%112 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb575…d35bbacked Xinyu Wang28c390.6$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11130235.1%106 W · 196 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Xinyu Wang26c385$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.11,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Madison Keys73c383.56$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.562,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Madison Keys77c379.22$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5725446.5%118 W · 136 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Madison Keys38c371$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.6730040%120 W · 180 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Madison Keys38c371$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.6769438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca2…088ebacked Madison Keys38c371$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.6719744.7%88 W · 109 L+17.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a14…9fe4backed Xinyu Wang26c351.04$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2741535.4%147 W · 268 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Xinyu Wang22c345.24$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.462,09944.5%935 W · 1,164 L-51.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Madison Keys78c334$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2885742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Xinyu Wang26c333$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5828947.8%138 W · 151 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Madison Keys78c330$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.011,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6d2…4a24backed Xinyu Wang10c305.3$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5352910%53 W · 476 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd4c…b237backed Madison Keys73c300.04$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.011656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Xinyu Wang27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8136535.1%128 W · 237 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Xinyu Wang21c292.08$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6083823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe321…b456backed Xinyu Wang28c286.82$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809145.1%41 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9527…f108backed Xinyu Wang4c285$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6553539.3%210 W · 325 L+37.2wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Madison Keys80c265$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.174,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Madison Keys76c264$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.365,49848.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L+10.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1110…ea61backed Madison Keys73c261.24$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.88850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3556…af4fbacked Xinyu Wang26c260.63$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.627724.9%69 W · 208 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Madison Keys45c251$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.0719941.7%83 W · 116 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Xinyu Wang5c245.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1312326.8%33 W · 90 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Madison Keys72c224.12$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.673,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb86c…b76fbacked Madison Keys74c219.99$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.220763.3%131 W · 76 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xacac…2d37backed Xinyu Wang27c216$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.329040%36 W · 54 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e8…9826backed Xinyu Wang15c208.03$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314938.8%19 W · 30 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+52.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Madison Keys72c207.17$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1785568.3%584 W · 271 L+24.6wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Xinyu Wang23c206$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3898055.4%543 W · 437 L+3.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Xinyu Wang19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3846439.7%184 W · 280 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x167f…fa5ebacked Madison Keys31c200$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1396456.3%36 W · 28 L+18.4wins+0.29per pick27cpaid+109.2%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Madison Keys74c195.24$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7685057.5%489 W · 361 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x890a…7623backed Madison Keys77c194.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8124975.5%188 W · 61 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Madison Keys73c187.14$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.73,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5183…2ae3backed Madison Keys22c185.14$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.41944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick15cpaid+162.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Xinyu Wang23c172.77$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1696945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Xinyu Wang27c163.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.781,08452.6%570 W · 514 L+31.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Madison Keys73c158.52$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.873748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Xinyu Wang28c153.07$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8633152.6%174 W · 157 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Madison Keys74c151.83$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.474,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd651…bff1backed Madison Keys73c150$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.53100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6809…b188backed Madison Keys73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.998269.5%57 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Madison Keys74c133.33$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.671,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Madison Keys74c133.04$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5919152.4%100 W · 91 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffef…dabfbacked Madison Keys77c130$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.915754.8%86 W · 71 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Madison Keys77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Xinyu Wang30c128.9$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0164637.2%240 W · 406 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Xinyu Wang28c122.07$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.182,88739.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L-84.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Madison Keys74c121.62$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.621,18762.8%746 W · 441 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6100…7827backed Xinyu Wang27c113.56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.662740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8706…008cbacked Madison Keys79c112.19$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.045072%36 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2750…3134backed Madison Keys74c108.43$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.195349.1%26 W · 27 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.