TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x890a…7623

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
259
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT24975.5%188 W · 61 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 249 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Charles Broombacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$44.81
Halle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52.7
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Giles Husseybacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.62
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Sofia Johnsonbacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Brescia: Xiyu Wang vs Anastasiia Sobolievabacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$44.81
Figueira Da Foz: Alina Charaeva vs Ayla Aksubacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Mallorca Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$48.23
ITF Monastir: Victoria Milovanova vs Lucie Pawlakbacked Victoria Milovanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ksenia Zaytseva vs Marianne Argyrokastritibacked Ksenia Zaytseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.9
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Amelie Justine Hejtmanek vs Marie Mettrauxbacked Marie Mettraux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.57
Asuncion 2: Guido Justo vs Nick Hardtbacked Nick Hardt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$166.66
ITF Irvine: Spencer Johnson vs Neo Niednerbacked Spencer Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$42.31
ITF Irvine: Theadora Rabman vs Monika Ekstrandbacked Monika Ekstrand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$44.81
ITF Irvine: Veronica Miroshnichenko vs Kaitlyn Carnicellabacked Veronica Miroshnichenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
ITF Tulsa: Jeffrey John Wolf vs Christian Langmobacked Jeffrey John Wolf · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$42.44
ITF Samobor: Jozef Kovalik vs Dimitar Kuzmanovbacked Jozef Kovalik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Brescia: Xiyu Wang vs Luisina Giovanninibacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$48.36
ITF Dinard: Tilwith Di Girolami vs Lisa Claeysbacked Tilwith Di Girolami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.45
Brescia: Elizara Yaneva vs Ekaterine Gorgodzebacked Elizara Yaneva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
ITF Monastir: Dominika Podhajecka vs Mariia Nozdrachovabacked Dominika Podhajecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.36
Poznan: Michele Ribecai vs Facundo Acostabacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$44.81
ITF Kayseri: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Volodymyr Iakubenkobacked Ivan Marrero Curbelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$44.81
ITF Kayseri: Adelina Lachinova vs Ada Kumrubacked Adelina Lachinova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$40.61
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$55.48
Parma: Ilia Simakin vs Jacopo Vasamibacked Jacopo Vasami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Showing 25 of 249 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.22
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.23
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$61.5
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$50.38
Spread: Heat (-1.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.35
Spread: Bucks (-2.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.47
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.99
All 10 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.