Tennis · resolved market
ITF Irvine: Veronica Miroshnichenko vs Kaitlyn Carnicella
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xced0e1327a28ab0587ec398d95cf3733043db3d8b0ffbffbb6a30444b29deb02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kaitlyn Carnicellaof Veronica Miroshnichenko, Kaitlyn Carnicella
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Kaitlyn Carnicella | 72c | 6,708$4,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.18 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Veronica Miroshnichenko | 23c | 1,801$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.06 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Veronica Miroshnichenko | 22c | 1,796$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.12 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Veronica Miroshnichenko | 23c | 1,710$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.69 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Veronica Miroshnichenko | 35c | 1,607$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.92 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…9b39backed Kaitlyn Carnicella | 62c | 1,531$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.78 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Veronica Miroshnichenko | 72c | 1,188$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.04 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Veronica Miroshnichenko | 25c | 972.16$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.58 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Veronica Miroshnichenko | 38c | 413.77$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.21 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kaitlyn Carnicella | 27c | 407.41$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.41 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kaitlyn Carnicella | 27c | 333.82$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.69 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Veronica Miroshnichenko | 33c | 271.87$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.93 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Veronica Miroshnichenko | 34c | 259.29$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…7623backed Veronica Miroshnichenko | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 249 | 75.5%188 W · 61 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Veronica Miroshnichenko | 34c | 180$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kaitlyn Carnicella | 55c | 177.28$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.59 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Veronica Miroshnichenko | 47c | 128.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kaitlyn Carnicella | 54c | 119.07$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Veronica Miroshnichenko | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kaitlyn Carnicella | 56c | 94.11$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Kaitlyn Carnicella | 27c | 79.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Kaitlyn Carnicella | 55c | 78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Kaitlyn Carnicella | 29c | 60.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b6…99c0backed Veronica Miroshnichenko | 70c | 56.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Kaitlyn Carnicella | 58c | 55.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Veronica Miroshnichenko | 34c | 54.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Kaitlyn Carnicella | 54c | 46.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Kaitlyn Carnicella | 54c | 34.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb7…20d4backed Veronica Miroshnichenko | 72c | 34.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Kaitlyn Carnicella | 58c | 27.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Kaitlyn Carnicella | 55c | 18.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Veronica Miroshnichenko | 72c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Kaitlyn Carnicella | 78c | 12.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.