NBA · resolved market

Spread: Heat (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6594706f5f7b9166265f90ae68b35bda9ad06955d10a582e0c30730a3f686e99

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Raptorsof Heat, Raptors
Resolved: Apr 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $39,042
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $40,290

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,042 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1333…173bbacked Heat	48c	8,456$4,059 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,058.79	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Heat	44c	3,000$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,319.98	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb212…c63cbacked Raptors	52c	2,918$1,517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,400.54	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.5wins	+0.28per pick	50cpaid	+57%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors	53c	2,407$1,276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,130.81	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Heat	4c	2,332$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.29	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Heat	48c	2,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Raptors	52c	1,942$1,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$932.35	310	46.8%145 W · 165 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Heat	43c	1,665$718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$717.97	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Heat	30c	1,557$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.75	688	38.5%265 W · 423 L	-26.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Raptors	70c	1,302$905 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396.74	285	54.7%156 W · 129 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors	52c	1,264$659 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$605.14	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a96…c617backed Heat	47c	1,100$518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$518.2	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Heat	46c	1,084$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.99	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x419e…4cd4backed Heat	48c	1,071$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.97	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x450e…4fddbacked Heat	48c	1,005$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.22	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked Heat	47c	1,000$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-5.1wins	-0.18per pick	50cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa9f9…fa18backed Heat	46c	1,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+40.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Heat	48c	999.99$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	152	19.1%29 W · 123 L	-10.1wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x99a7…87b6backed Raptors	57c	974.95$555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.67	50	50%25 W · 25 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x128a…a1b0backed Raptors	52c	971.2$505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$466.18	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Raptors	58c	840.34$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352.94	219	57.1%125 W · 94 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Heat	47c	824$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.28	211	52.6%111 W · 100 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Raptors	52c	662.15$344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.83	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Raptors	56c	633.12$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.57	134	42.5%57 W · 77 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Raptors	52c	592.99$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.64	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Heat	43c	463.28$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.29	935	43.6%408 W · 527 L	-32.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Heat	46c	460.56$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.92	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd925…f36fbacked Raptors	51c	442.32$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.74	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfda3…ae6ebacked Heat	49c	433.17$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf793…6265backed Raptors	52c	429.57$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.19	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Heat	48c	424.02$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.57	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Raptors	52c	373.54$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.3	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3722…1f0abacked Heat	46c	351.55$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.71	61	50.8%31 W · 30 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe182…b624backed Heat	47c	338.2$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.96	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+3.5wins	+0.35per pick	45cpaid	+120.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Raptors	56c	335.18$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.48	584	50.2%293 W · 291 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Raptors	59c	330.64$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.56	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors	52c	327.13$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.75	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Raptors	56c	322.16$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.75	178	50%89 W · 89 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x421b…6640backed Raptors	52c	246.34$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.25	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Raptors	52c	229.76$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.28	146	40.4%59 W · 87 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Heat	39c	225.25$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.93	288	42.7%123 W · 165 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Heat	45c	214.89$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.7	267	55.1%147 W · 120 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0fc2backed Raptors	58c	194.96$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.88	102	55.9%57 W · 45 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x752a…da2fbacked Raptors	52c	190$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.2	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Raptors	52c	186.77$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.65	1,888	37.3%704 W · 1,184 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Raptors	56c	180.51$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.43	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c81…5d38backed Heat	43c	170.93$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.5	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Heat	33c	160.19$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.48	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Raptors	55c	141.53$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.69	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Heat	43c	124.11$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.73	202	40.1%81 W · 121 L	-12.4wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Raptors	56c	121.7$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.55	98	54.1%53 W · 45 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Raptors	52c	120.91$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.04	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Raptors	52c	120.89$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.01	113	46%52 W · 61 L	-8.1wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Raptors	52c	120.27$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.38	130	52.3%68 W · 62 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Raptors	52c	120.27$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.38	152	52.6%80 W · 72 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x890a…7623backed Heat	45c	107.44$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.35	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.17per pick	47cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Heat	45c	99.99$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	533	39.6%211 W · 322 L	-39.9wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Raptors	56c	97.36$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.84	87	57.5%50 W · 37 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Raptors	52c	93.38$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.82	381	52.8%201 W · 180 L	+18.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Raptors	52c	85.79$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.76	349	53%185 W · 164 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Raptors	52c	85.47$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.02	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Raptors	52c	85.47$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.02	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Raptors	52c	85.47$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.02	716	54.1%387 W · 329 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Raptors	52c	85.47$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.02	195	50.8%99 W · 96 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Raptors	52c	85.47$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.02	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Raptors	52c	85.47$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.02	417	53.2%222 W · 195 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Raptors	52c	85.47$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.02	589	53.7%316 W · 273 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Raptors	52c	85.47$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.02	298	49.3%147 W · 151 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ccb…604ebacked Raptors	52c	84.82$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.36	28	67.9%19 W · 9 L	+3.4wins	+0.12per pick	56cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Raptors	52c	84.82$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.36	160	53.8%86 W · 74 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Heat	46c	82.29$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.85	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01f…8404backed Heat	46c	82.29$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.85	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Raptors	59c	81.28$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.32	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Heat	16c	76.81$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.19	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Raptors	56c	76.5$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.66	242	50.8%123 W · 119 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Raptors	52c	71.27$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.21	160	48.8%78 W · 82 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7926…4ae5backed Raptors	52c	70.25$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.37	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Raptors	56c	69.61$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.63	113	55.8%63 W · 50 L	+6.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Heat	41c	68.23$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.97	235	49.4%116 W · 119 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed Heat	45c	64.47$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.01	92	39.1%36 W · 56 L	-10.6wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbc76…6a4fbacked Heat	43c	63.41$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.27	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.16per pick	59cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x927a…f706backed Raptors	80c	60.52$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.1	241	39%94 W · 147 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Heat	19c	60$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	377	53.8%203 W · 174 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2b1…b35bbacked Heat	43c	59.66$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.65	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Raptors	56c	58.42$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.7	852	48.9%417 W · 435 L	+26.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18c7…7613backed Heat	45c	53.72$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.18	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	-6.5wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2052…b249backed Heat	43c	52.95$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.77	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c80…9564backed Raptors	56c	52.16$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.95	121	59.5%72 W · 49 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…fa34backed Heat	47c	51.5$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.21	61	47.5%29 W · 32 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Raptors	52c	50.02$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.01	127	52.8%67 W · 60 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Raptors	52c	50.02$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.01	445	51.2%228 W · 217 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb51…f32cbacked Heat	49c	49.46$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.24	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Heat	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Heat	37c	43.79$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.3	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17a3…8cb3backed Raptors	54c	43.76$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.13	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Raptors	56c	43.46$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.12	332	49.7%165 W · 167 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf47…e2b7backed Heat	43c	42$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.06	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Heat	47c	41$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.07	346	41%142 W · 204 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86da…401cbacked Raptors	51c	39.2$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.21	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Heat	41c	37.15$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.36	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Heat (-1.5)this page
Heat vs. RaptorsRaptors won
Heat vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5Under won
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 239.5Under won
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 240.5Under won
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 241.5Under won
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 242.5Under won
Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 13.5No won
Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 12.5No won
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Raptors won
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won
Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Raptors won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Heat (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event