NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ad48e7c5c3ad686664ed944abf14e7f9a1291a210ea1e43ae883ac497ac6c82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Raptors | 51c | 78,385$39,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,639.42 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Heat | 50c | 21,429$10,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,714.25 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Heat | 48c | 20,326$9,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,756.3 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Heat | 51c | 11,437$5,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,832.87 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 51c | 6,593$3,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,353 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 49c | 5,705$2,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.7 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Raptors | 58c | 3,741$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.87 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Heat | 49c | 3,638$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.62 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Heat | 50c | 3,500$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.99 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Heat | 48c | 3,266$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.68 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Heat | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Heat | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heat | 52c | 2,711$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.81 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Heat | 48c | 2,451$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.37 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Heat | 48c | 2,317$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Heat | 47c | 1,984$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.59 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 47c | 1,877$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.56 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Heat | 42c | 1,866$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.85 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Raptors | 52c | 1,284$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.2 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Heat | 50c | 1,193$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.19 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Heat | 49c | 1,088$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.34 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…754bbacked Raptors | 46c | 1,077$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.67 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heat | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.4 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Heat | 42c | 867.93$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.8 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Heat | 49c | 790.94$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.97 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Heat | 49c | 750.01$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.95 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Heat | 54c | 649$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.46 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57c…3e7dbacked Heat | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Heat | 51c | 500$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Heat | 52c | 486.24$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.28 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Heat | 47c | 482$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.56 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Raptors | 51c | 479.45$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.86 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…0fc2backed Raptors | 52c | 388.48$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.47 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…ee58backed Heat | 51c | 381.09$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.11 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Raptors | 48c | 302.75$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.43 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 48c | 302.04$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.92 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62f…4857backed Raptors | 48c | 258.35$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.34 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Heat | 52c | 257.87$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.09 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Raptors | 48c | 232.11$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Heat | 52c | 219.65$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.65 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Raptors | 49c | 206.7$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.15 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f2…fdb4backed Raptors | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x872e…e58fbacked Heat | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 52c | 179.89$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.54 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…3e64backed Heat | 52c | 175.92$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.48 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Heat | 52c | 174.47$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.16 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Heat | 42c | 173.81$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Raptors | 51c | 155.57$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.23 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Raptors | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Heat | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Heat | 30c | 147.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Heat | 42c | 133$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed Raptors | 49c | 128.59$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.58 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Raptors | 48c | 101.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Raptors | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Raptors | 48c | 98.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Heat | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…5f6cbacked Raptors | 47c | 79.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Heat | 50c | 65.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Heat | 20c | 62.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Raptors | 80c | 61.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Heat | 45c | 59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…e660backed Raptors | 52c | 58.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…4db6backed Raptors | 52c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Heat | 52c | 57.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Heat | 48c | 51.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 238 | 40.8%97 W · 141 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Heat | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Raptors | 49c | 49.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…b072backed Heat | 51c | 45.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Heat | 53c | 45.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed Heat | 52c | 45.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f74…4adabacked Raptors | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Heat | 47c | 40.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…7f2cbacked Raptors | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Raptors | 47c | 40.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Heat | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 378 | 45%170 W · 208 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…a037backed Raptors | 51c | 38.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…a7fdbacked Heat | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a9…dbc4backed Heat | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…e029backed Raptors | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Heat | 42c | 35.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…76f5backed Heat | 53c | 35.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Heat | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…0d39backed Heat | 52c | 35.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Heat | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…1448backed Raptors | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7287…b38ebacked Raptors | 53c | 29.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…205bbacked Heat | 49c | 29.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Heat | 54c | 28.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 202 | 40.1%81 W · 121 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Raptors | 48c | 28.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Heat | 52c | 27.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Heat | 52c | 27.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Raptors | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Raptors | 49c | 23.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…bd0bbacked Heat | 52c | 21.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -6.4wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Heat | 54c | 20.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaabd…54fcbacked Heat | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Raptors | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)this page
- Heat vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Heat vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5Under won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 239.5Under won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 240.5Under won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 241.5Under won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 242.5Under won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Heat (-1.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.