NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 240.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe45bfc2e1a7488a025faf303ed5570b474c47b505fd15c068e07954dbf73fbc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,599.91 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 50c | 15,866$7,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,932.84 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 53c | 13,048$6,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,912.79 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Over | 53c | 11,590$6,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,139.46 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 9,217$4,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700.64 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 7,650$3,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,048.57 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f4…b033backed Under | 50c | 7,464$3,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,731.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…3096backed Under | 49c | 5,046$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.41 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 47c | 4,532$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.06 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 3,988$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed Over | 1c | 2,005$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa136…ea3cbacked Under | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Under | 49c | 1,876$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.61 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 51c | 1,851$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.98 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 49c | 1,688$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.88 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over | 54c | 1,441$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.92 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 49c | 1,053$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.91 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea8…c8bdbacked Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Under | 48c | 999.95$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.98 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Under | 49c | 984.5$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.1 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 929.72$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.75 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 656.84$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.13 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 53c | 634.88$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.49 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 53c | 634.88$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.49 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 53c | 634.88$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.49 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 53c | 634.88$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.49 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 53c | 634.88$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.49 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 53c | 634.88$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.49 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 53c | 634.88$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.49 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 53c | 634.88$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.49 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 53c | 634.88$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.49 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 76c | 634.49$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.68 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 47c | 618$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.54 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 607.52$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.76 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…bd1bbacked Over | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 51c | 582.36$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Over | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.54 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 49c | 506.46$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.3 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 24c | 483.6$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.12 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 53c | 458.4$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.95 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 412.24$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 399.4$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.65 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.36 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Under | 47c | 319.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.14 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Under | 53c | 275.04$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.27 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Under | 47c | 255.3$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.31 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 49c | 234.57$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.8 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 49c | 208.02$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.09 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Under | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 53c | 203.16$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.68 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Over | 51c | 201.9$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.97 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Under | 47c | 196.77$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.29 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc33…3127backed Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 47c | 183.96$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a5…750dbacked Over | 51c | 175.09$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8e…f0ecbacked Over | 51c | 175.09$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 48c | 137.18$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.76 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 52c | 126.02$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.53 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Under | 47c | 123.6$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.51 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 50c | 98.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ab…4e8dbacked Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Over | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf35…71e3backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd79…3635backed Over | 25c | 76.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 57c | 74.71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 53c | 72.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 29c | 60.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 46c | 59.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Over | 41c | 58.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Under | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 133 | 42.9%57 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Over | 54c | 57.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Over | 53c | 52.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b43…9149backed Over | 51c | 51.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 49c | 49.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 279 | 45.9%128 W · 151 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…a99fbacked Under | 50c | 47.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76b…b834backed Over | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…acafbacked Over | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed Over | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 53c | 40.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 53c | 40.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…8b8bbacked Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 49c | 36.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 240.5this page
- Heat vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Heat vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5Under won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 239.5Under won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 241.5Under won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 242.5Under won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Heat (-1.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.