NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab563f26809c00ea1fd89644da876e17cfbccf69faf6fb52a631a27a2d153461
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $414,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $413,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $414,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Over | 52c | 256,364$133,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133,309.15 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 48c | 200,000$96,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,000 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…82e7backed Under | 48c | 50,002$24,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,000.92 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 43c | 16,440$7,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,362.16 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 47c | 16,147$7,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,557.89 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 43c | 15,319$6,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,737.09 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd5…f2cfbacked Under | 48c | 11,941$5,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,209.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 47c | 10,084$4,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,373.94 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 44c | 7,500$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.9 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 52c | 6,547$3,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,404.67 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 51c | 6,253$3,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,211.05 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 6,039$3,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,203.96 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Under | 48c | 5,555$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,888.58 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Under | 47c | 2,995$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.54 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x419e…4cd4backed Under | 49c | 2,195$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…4c08backed Under | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…23bbbacked Under | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Over | 53c | 2,070$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.04 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2731…6e32backed Under | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.97 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 1,437$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.61 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 152 | 19.1%29 W · 123 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…fa18backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6eb…8761backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29e1…f717backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 895.75$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.46 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 43c | 878.38$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.2 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8a…2953backed Under | 48c | 868$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 55c | 867.17$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.94 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…bfffbacked Over | 57c | 852.89$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 34c | 848.5$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.25 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 58c | 772.01$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.34 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 47c | 736.73$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.67 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 55c | 696.84$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.21 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 57c | 632.38$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 42c | 607.6$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.41 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 46c | 580.56$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.5 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb0…cfdabacked Over | 57c | 557$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.49 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 43c | 544.84$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.56 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 54c | 543.33$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.4 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 18c | 536.48$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 57c | 509.81$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 54c | 498.85$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.88 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 46c | 420.9$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.17 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 417.55$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.61 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 40c | 409.58$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.11 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 52c | 396.93$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.39 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 47c | 363.08$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.43 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaed…5749backed Under | 48c | 361.88$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.18 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 45c | 339.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.53 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d1…5312backed Over | 56c | 307.05$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.07 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 295.68$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.25 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 45c | 290.89$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.99 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Under | 48c | 286.76$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.05 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 54c | 265.89$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.58 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 253.75$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.56 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 44c | 245.33$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.15 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 55c | 218.6$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.43 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Over | 54c | 216.09$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.69 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 42c | 210.83$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.28 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09a2…ce05backed Over | 54c | 206$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 44c | 196.66$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Over | 54c | 185.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Under | 47c | 184.97$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -9.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 44c | 175.7$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.39 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…9908backed Under | 47c | 164.59$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.23 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Under | 42c | 160.87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.3 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 47c | 158.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.22 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 48c | 157.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 48c | 151.06$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Under | 42c | 149.38$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.64 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Under | 46c | 145.7$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.68 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 55c | 125.18$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb1…648abacked Under | 43c | 123.58$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 57c | 120.64$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Over | 55c | 119.77$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.87 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9f…b100backed Over | 59c | 115.73$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62db…d58ebacked Under | 46c | 106.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Under | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 105.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…c927backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 42c | 99.28$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 98.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Over | 49c | 96.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 54c | 90.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088d…3516backed Over | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4859…b08ebacked Over | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed Over | 54c | 89.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 52c | 83.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Under | 45c | 80.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 52c | 77.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…c174backed Under | 45c | 74.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 54c | 74.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc31e…a0dcbacked Over | 54c | 68.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23e7…fca5backed Under | 48c | 68.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 52c | 64.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5this page
- Heat vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Heat vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 239.5Under won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 240.5Under won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 241.5Under won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 242.5Under won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Heat (-1.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.