TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 239.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,202
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,958

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,202 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d1a…0df6backed Over53c11,388$6,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,049.6820744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cd5…f2cfbacked Over52c11,105$5,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,774.461844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe54d…fea1backed Under54c9,828$5,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,520.881154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ae…e370backed Over46c9,000$4,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1407445.9%34 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c8,114$3,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,392.669,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x144e…eca0backed Under47c5,427$2,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,876.317451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Over52c5,335$2,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,756.631457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c4,208$2,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,164.644,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3722…1f0abacked Under48c3,466$1,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,787.486150.8%31 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb212…c63cbacked Under48c3,320$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,726.29977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+57%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Under47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59016249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c1,828$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.631,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over49c1,626$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.52,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bef…3afdbacked Under47c1,500$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.995650%28 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Over51c1,363$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.3412646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Under48c1,354$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.132846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under52c1,233$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.0491050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99a7…87b6backed Under50c1,106$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.95050%25 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29e1…f717backed Over48c1,005$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52053951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cd3…de97backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a0…a974backed Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-79.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd01f…8404backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d7…c4debacked Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61c7…01ddbacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5204938.8%19 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x454c…b413backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over46c997.75$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.977647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over54c986.49$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.96,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaeb…a226backed Under50c969.52$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.761546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over55c758.16$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.9958450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under48c729.99$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.631354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c711.67$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.021,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d12…1167backed Under50c656.48$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.24650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked Over50c498.3$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.152828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-47.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over35c482.72$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.2328842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under79c466.79$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.168,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over46c451.21$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.853,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under49c438.47$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.0193543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over50c394.62$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.71,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Under48c377.83$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.4716849.4%83 W · 85 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under47c351$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.7647436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over38c321.58$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.22,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Under51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1210854.6%59 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over56c269.9$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.1419550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over53c267.25$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6462744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c223.74$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.354,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Under49c197.76$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.869159.3%54 W · 37 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Under49c184.82$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.596734.3%23 W · 44 L-9.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-34%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Under54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8338152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Over46c180$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.821347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over51c169.83$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.212,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under47c162.12$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7639448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Over46c157.83$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9829344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Under50c155.2$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.614444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c133$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.832,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc38d…48e3backed Under48c131.17$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Over52c130.74$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.989854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over46c102.61$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.562,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4668645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5353339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over56c99.46$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.734953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4549852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed Over50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.58154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over56c93.73$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.491,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over56c93.73$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over56c93.73$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4914640.4%59 W · 87 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Over56c93.73$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4912752.8%67 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1968…8c66backed Over56c93.73$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.493135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over56c93.73$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4959250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over56c93.73$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4941753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over56c93.73$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4958953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over56c93.73$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4922047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over56c93.73$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4951647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over56c93.73$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4956447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a91…0776backed Over46c92.63$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.611450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec4…b8e5backed Under50c88.7$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.35650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over56c87.27$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8735052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over56c87.01$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7261151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over56c86.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6853348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over56c86.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6832450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Over56c86.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6836852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over56c86.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6857051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under48c83.73$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1349249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Over56c80.18$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.99848%47 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under48c77.81$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4635546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under47c77.01$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0763746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under47c77.01$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.071,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under47c76.91$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9971654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under46c70.26$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9429849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25e6…74a9backed Under48c60.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.496541.5%27 W · 38 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.41,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Over51c59.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.28652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa080…e029backed Over52c56.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.146254.8%34 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over55c53.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.651,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2801…ebdcbacked Under46c53.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.948332.5%27 W · 56 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over50c52.96$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5381349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee9…5b88backed Under46c50.73$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.41421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-60.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c46.32$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.722,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.