NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dd97d562eabe8e458130f3c5c5de2ac9013d19f6072b2196c52724d20e3411f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 53c | 11,388$6,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,049.68 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd5…f2cfbacked Over | 52c | 11,105$5,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,774.46 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fea1backed Under | 54c | 9,828$5,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,520.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ae…e370backed Over | 46c | 9,000$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,140 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 8,114$3,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,392.66 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Under | 47c | 5,427$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,876.31 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Over | 52c | 5,335$2,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,756.63 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 4,208$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.64 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3722…1f0abacked Under | 48c | 3,466$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.48 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb212…c63cbacked Under | 48c | 3,320$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.29 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +57%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 1,828$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.63 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 49c | 1,626$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.5 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Under | 47c | 1,500$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.99 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Over | 51c | 1,363$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.34 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Under | 48c | 1,354$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.13 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 52c | 1,233$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.04 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…87b6backed Under | 50c | 1,106$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.9 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29e1…f717backed Over | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd3…de97backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…a974backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01f…8404backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d7…c4debacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…01ddbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…b171backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…b413backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Over | 46c | 997.75$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.97 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 54c | 986.49$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.9 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaeb…a226backed Under | 50c | 969.52$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.76 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 55c | 758.16$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.99 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 48c | 729.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.6 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 711.67$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.02 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d12…1167backed Under | 50c | 656.48$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Over | 50c | 498.3$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.15 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 35c | 482.72$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.23 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 466.79$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.16 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 451.21$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.85 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 49c | 438.47$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.01 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 50c | 394.62$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.7 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 48c | 377.83$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.47 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 47c | 351$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.76 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 38c | 321.58$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Under | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 56c | 269.9$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.14 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 53c | 267.25$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.64 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 223.74$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.35 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Under | 49c | 197.76$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.86 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Under | 49c | 184.82$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.59 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -9.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Under | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Over | 46c | 180$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 51c | 169.83$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.21 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 47c | 162.12$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Over | 46c | 157.83$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…2464backed Under | 50c | 155.2$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 133$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…48e3backed Under | 48c | 131.17$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed Over | 52c | 130.74$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 102.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 56c | 99.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 56c | 93.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 56c | 93.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over | 56c | 93.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Over | 56c | 93.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…8c66backed Over | 56c | 93.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 56c | 93.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 56c | 93.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 56c | 93.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 56c | 93.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 56c | 93.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 56c | 93.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed Over | 46c | 92.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec4…b8e5backed Under | 50c | 88.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 56c | 87.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 56c | 87.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 48c | 83.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Over | 56c | 80.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 48c | 77.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 47c | 77.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 47c | 77.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 47c | 76.91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 46c | 70.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e6…74a9backed Under | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Over | 51c | 59.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…e029backed Over | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 55c | 53.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…ebdcbacked Under | 46c | 53.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 50c | 52.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee9…5b88backed Under | 46c | 50.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 46.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 239.5this page
- Heat vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Heat vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5Under won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 240.5Under won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 241.5Under won
- Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 242.5Under won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Heat (-1.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.