NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Raptors

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x250b35b0fca6be051250dc8ae6d94bcfbc72ea111756b143fde869345f925c16

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Raptorsof Heat, Raptors
Resolved: Apr 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,424,375
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,532,408

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,424,375 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 995 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Raptors	56c	50,293$27,998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,294.37	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d6a…1c08backed Heat	37c	45,888$17,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,119.81	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-3.5wins	-0.18per pick	60cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Heat	28c	41,056$11,374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,374.34	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Raptors	51c	31,942$16,290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,651.53	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Raptors	67c	30,614$20,462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,151.57	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1961…c461backed Heat	44c	30,206$13,291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,290.83	87	50.6%44 W · 43 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf402…df7cbacked Raptors	54c	24,450$13,293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,156.5	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+2.4wins	+0.14per pick	57cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Raptors	50c	24,370$12,185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,184.93	618	51.6%319 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Heat	45c	23,563$10,617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,616.57	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Heat	46c	23,134$10,628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,627.76	355	47.3%168 W · 187 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors	53c	22,979$12,161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,817.16	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Heat	46c	22,844$10,453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,453.1	393	49.1%193 W · 200 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3406…097cbacked Heat	0c	21,621$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.62	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Heat	44c	20,396$9,063 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,063.38	109	30.3%33 W · 76 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Raptors	55c	20,000$11,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,999.95	492	44.3%218 W · 274 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Raptors	59c	18,924$11,222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,701.59	107	47.7%51 W · 56 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Heat	46c	15,776$7,257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,257	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Heat	28c	15,535$4,379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,378.6	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef24…f43ebacked Heat	48c	15,457$7,365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,364.72	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Heat	42c	15,000$6,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,300.05	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Heat	45c	15,000$6,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,750	91	59.3%54 W · 37 L	+9.0wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Heat	47c	15,000$7,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,049.97	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+66.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Raptors	54c	12,000$6,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,519.99	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Raptors	59c	11,605$6,827 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,778.22	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Heat	46c	11,111$5,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,111	47	34%16 W · 31 L	-6.9wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Heat	26c	11,017$2,866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,865.99	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Heat	13c	10,767$1,426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,425.61	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c9d…614abacked Heat	42c	10,575$4,478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,478.16	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Raptors	54c	10,184$5,499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,684.46	134	42.5%57 W · 77 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Heat	20c	10,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	354	44.6%158 W · 196 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Heat	45c	10,000$4,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,549.99	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Heat	47c	9,868$4,638 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,637.91	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Raptors	55c	9,730$5,352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,378.5	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf93…a757backed Raptors	54c	9,530$5,146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,383.58	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Heat	5c	9,487$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473.76	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Raptors	69c	9,294$6,456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,837.41	278	65.8%183 W · 95 L	+25.4wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Raptors	58c	9,273$5,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,872.76	381	43%164 W · 217 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7960…734dbacked Raptors	54c	9,004$4,862 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,141.7	36	69.4%25 W · 11 L	+4.9wins	+0.13per pick	56cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Raptors	56c	8,693$4,868 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,824.86	88	59.1%52 W · 36 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Raptors	68c	8,404$5,681 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,722.25	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Heat	47c	7,841$3,655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,655.25	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23ba…01ecbacked Heat	47c	7,416$3,486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,485.52	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.20per pick	40cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Heat	45c	7,065$3,179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,179.36	384	34.9%134 W · 250 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Heat	10c	7,019$702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$701.89	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Heat	45c	6,911$3,117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,116.71	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Heat	39c	6,360$2,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,469.64	207	44%91 W · 116 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Heat	50c	6,000$2,970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,970	89	48.3%43 W · 46 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Heat	17c	5,803$978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$977.91	141	7.8%11 W · 130 L	-7.8wins	-0.06per pick	13cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Heat	27c	5,739$1,557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,557.29	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Heat	35c	5,531$1,963 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,962.6	135	34.1%46 W · 89 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed Raptors	71c	5,401$3,821 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,580.27	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Raptors	56c	5,023$2,808 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,214.62	219	51.1%112 W · 107 L	+7.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Raptors	54c	5,000$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,300	142	44.4%63 W · 79 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Heat	46c	5,000$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,300	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Heat	48c	5,000$2,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,379.95	434	38.5%167 W · 267 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Raptors	50c	4,923$2,471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,452.37	259	47.5%123 W · 136 L	+14.5wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked Heat	47c	4,846$2,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,267.45	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-4.7wins	-0.17per pick	45cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Heat	48c	4,814$2,311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,310.69	596	46.1%275 W · 321 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Heat	47c	4,704$2,211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,210.75	122	57.4%70 W · 52 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Raptors	55c	4,703$2,573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,130.11	352	51.1%180 W · 172 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8a…8723backed Heat	31c	4,632$1,446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,445.52	56	33.9%19 W · 37 L	-4.8wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e9e…8529backed Raptors	54c	4,499$2,429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,069.56	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed Heat	45c	4,298$1,934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,934	221	59.7%132 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Heat	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,919.97	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Raptors	55c	3,951$2,166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,785.13	213	50.7%108 W · 105 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Raptors	55c	3,893$2,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,735.76	105	59%62 W · 43 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Heat	46c	3,870$1,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,780.38	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Raptors	66c	3,719$2,445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,273.65	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Raptors	56c	3,651$2,045 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,606.44	419	54.4%228 W · 191 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Heat	46c	3,637$1,673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,673.18	286	49.7%142 W · 144 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Heat	48c	3,600$1,728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,727.95	237	42.6%101 W · 136 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Heat	6c	3,599$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.51	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Heat	48c	3,565$1,711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,711.31	310	46.8%145 W · 165 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Heat	43c	3,557$1,538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,538.04	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Raptors	56c	3,408$1,908 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,499.34	292	50%146 W · 146 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Heat	6c	3,328$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.16	360	23.1%83 W · 277 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Raptors	53c	3,271$1,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,521.68	36	63.9%23 W · 13 L	+5.0wins	+0.14per pick	50cpaid	+38%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Heat	24c	3,127$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$759.69	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Heat	45c	3,092$1,391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,391.49	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4674…f7aabacked Heat	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Heat	49c	2,968$1,454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,454.1	356	50%178 W · 178 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Heat	0c	2,852$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.27	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Raptors	55c	2,831$1,557 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,274.14	259	45.6%118 W · 141 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d6…d0c0backed Raptors	51c	2,674$1,365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,309.6	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Heat	36c	2,671$962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$961.6	143	55.9%80 W · 63 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Heat	31c	2,641$830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$830.3	621	44%273 W · 348 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e19…ba6cbacked Raptors	51c	2,594$1,323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,270.95	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8284…2723backed Heat	49c	2,571$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,259.73	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	56cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Raptors	58c	2,568$1,489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,078.4	135	44.4%60 W · 75 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x27fe…95e3backed Heat	49c	2,538$1,244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,243.72	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-3.6wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Heat	44c	2,500$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	568	43.8%249 W · 319 L	-25.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Heat	48c	2,500$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,199.98	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Heat	45c	2,490$1,123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,123.22	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Heat	32c	2,467$787 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$786.63	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Heat	6c	2,430$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.64	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3da…3320backed Raptors	52c	2,422$1,259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,162.33	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd69f…7dffbacked Heat	49c	2,414$1,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,182.97	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e26…865abacked Heat	49c	2,414$1,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,182.67	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc43d…468dbacked Heat	50c	2,400$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Heat	46c	2,348$1,079 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,079.15	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Heat vs. Raptorsthis page
Heat vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5Under won
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 239.5Under won
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 240.5Under won
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 241.5Under won
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 242.5Under won
Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 13.5No won
Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 12.5No won
Spread: Heat (-1.5)Raptors won
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Raptors won
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won
Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Raptors won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Heat vs. Raptors

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event