TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x579a…9908

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
245
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT12154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 121 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.35
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.47
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$56.82
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+50%+$76.07
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.62
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.94
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.09
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.99
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.13
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+34%+$33.41
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$28.68
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$49.32
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$7.06
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.85
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$22.7
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.55
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.69
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.27
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on April 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$11.78
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.39
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on April 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$11.15
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$12.72
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.74
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$38.77
Showing 25 of 121 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT6756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.3
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.44
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.6
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.05
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.62
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.83
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.43
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.26
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.94
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$168.2
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$149.92
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29%+$99.58
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$91.18
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.76
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.15
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+158.4%+$510
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$428.89
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$102.39
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$89.49
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.69
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$119.68
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$60.6
Bulls vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$39.89
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$203.08
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$24.75
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$23.57
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$106.56
Canucks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$112.53
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.88
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+42%+$100.25
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$154.21
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.86
Penguins vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$60.9
Jets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$149.89
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.24
Sabres vs. Blackhawks: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$35.15
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.2
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.02
Rangers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$128.19
Flames vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15.5
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.32
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$54.3
Panthers vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$26.72
Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Capitals vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$75
Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$78.03
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick73cpaid+27.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13.57
Will Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$15.67
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.8
Will Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.61
Will Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$20.74
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$56.95
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Leeds United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$282.55
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$28.5
Will Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$35.76
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33.32
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.89
Will West Ham United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$49
All 12 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-46.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick22cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$103.68
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)backed Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$108.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Claude 4.7 released by April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.