TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$264,264
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$281,361

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,264 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x85f0…3f67backed Yes23c122,921$28,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,270.83234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x178d…43fcbacked No77c49,676$38,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,425.56683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No76c26,792$20,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,486.642,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No77c20,089$15,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,589.451,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No77c11,959$9,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,750.522,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes16c9,819$1,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.726,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed No77c9,644$7,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,218.12580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+71.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes23c9,333$2,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,146.6475542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No77c7,360$5,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,692.7114652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3233…a4ddbacked No77c6,359$4,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No77c5,917$4,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.9613155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No77c5,314$4,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.33881.6%31 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick68cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No77c5,000$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1509859.2%58 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes20c4,989$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.121,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes24c4,703$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.3574644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No76c4,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.997061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x844e…4efdbacked Yes24c3,817$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.94520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-63.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes22c3,453$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.7295332.5%310 W · 643 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No77c3,452$2,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.8915255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed No77c3,445$2,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.442763%17 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No77c3,371$2,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.275164.7%33 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc1b…62c9backed Yes23c2,568$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.55633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-49.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes23c2,477$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.768345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No77c2,221$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.7610951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes7c1,880$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4382763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No77c1,781$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.6740655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xada4…c344backed Yes23c1,617$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.983836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7174…9874backed No77c1,594$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.7966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No77c1,550$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.66448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No77c1,500$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34516050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No77c1,371$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.2911652.6%61 W · 55 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes7c1,349$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.421711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-53.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed No77c1,295$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.82650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes23c1,244$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.141540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No77c1,114$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.34369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No77c1,096$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25229250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda70…66b3backed No77c1,070$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.041968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f13…6a96backed No77c1,061$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3464…8112backed Yes17c1,050$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1791241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes23c1,029$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.662638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes23c1,020$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.61637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67d3…96cbbacked Yes17c999.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed No77c981.27$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.692060%12 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4a2…6fc8backed Yes17c975.34$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.811741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No74c877.34$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.111163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick73cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No77c874.62$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.1613151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No77c849.12$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.34452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes23c831.2$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9868942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed Yes23c829.39$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.764731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed No77c799.99$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1849451.1%48 W · 46 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9a8…a3d3backed No78c765.9$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.5825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes6c743.22$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5226319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c5b…cc75backed No78c740.1$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.828100%8 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+93.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No76c662.32$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.9656453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No77c651.38$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.8216753.3%89 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No77c640.38$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2924052.9%127 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No77c640.38$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2911555.7%64 W · 51 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No76c589.67$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.5246551.8%241 W · 224 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes3c565.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3913721.2%29 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes5c548.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.981,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Yes23c537.94$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.734259.5%25 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9a6…1c3fbacked No77c531.01$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.13633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-39.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76af…25c3backed No77c529.14$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.7988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick72cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1259347.3%44 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e5…b254backed Yes24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11558446.1%269 W · 315 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11596443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1151,20842.2%510 W · 698 L-27.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No77c499.55$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.851,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No77c493.1$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.4113858.7%81 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked No77c493.1$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.419753.6%52 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88e3…384ebacked Yes23c476.9$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.69333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes16c462.12$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8338233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes15c460.14$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4320651.9%107 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes23c414.7$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3812233.6%41 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes23c414.7$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.383545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked Yes23c414.7$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.382030%6 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No77c414.2$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.2717959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No77c414.2$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.2718156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ef4…cf3abacked No77c404.34$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+64.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed No77c384.23$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.373956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No77c364.89$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9316858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c65…2a0abacked Yes23c349.09$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.29616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No77c320.19$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6416757.5%96 W · 71 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked No77c320.18$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.642860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6969651.1%356 W · 340 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6980853.6%433 W · 375 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed Yes23c290.29$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.772740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No77c267.46$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5212561.6%77 W · 48 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No77c267.33$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4930057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No77c267.28$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4739555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No77c265.78$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1327552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca6f…1c42backed Yes6c255.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.15922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-41.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes8c241.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9413834.1%47 W · 91 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x94ce…edf2backed No76c236.48$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.743100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+55.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Yes22c229.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6316454.9%90 W · 74 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes23c207.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.692334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x00c4…e285backed Yes29c205.51$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.61338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462958.6%17 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4655351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.