TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7174…9874

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT3764.9%24 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.66
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$44.08
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$121.6
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$229.83
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$658Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$231.28
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$172.2
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$57.63
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.55
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+41%+$108.34
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.69
Wizards vs. Pelicansbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.51
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$56.2
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$66.82
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$119.41
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$114.62
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+49.3%+$44.33
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+56.3%+$116.63
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$93.49
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$115.99
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$30.62
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$221.55
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$143.92
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$219.3
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$38.88
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.32
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$23.69
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$393.6
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+121.2%+$142.48
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.61
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.49
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.3
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.2
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$395.17
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$75.09
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$19.43
Will Romania win on 2026-06-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$413.1
Will Kosovo vs. Türkiye end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$671Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$235.74
Will Kosovo win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$85.87
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.8
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$404.3
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$124.07
Will Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,228Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$366.7
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$58.1
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$115.09
Will Grimsby Town FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+25%+$5.99
Will Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$329.66
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+31.6%+$57.89
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick70cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick74cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+61.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Denis Shapovalov vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$42.77
Bucharest Open: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$19.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baylor Bears vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$38.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$102.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$93.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.