NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Suns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb2bcf3233248f6b4f41bd1e1673147dcd5cede421f6a2ebea6a14806ab39d5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,576,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,638,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,576,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 845 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8764…604abacked Suns | 29c | 429,901$124,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124,069.75 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +14.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Suns | 29c | 250,000$72,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,499.96 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe14…11eebacked Thunder | 71c | 134,000$95,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,859.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Thunder | 71c | 130,000$92,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,700 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Suns | 29c | 109,182$31,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,357.9 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 71c | 105,084$74,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,974.3 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Thunder | 70c | 95,739$67,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,721.6 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Suns | 32c | 74,162$23,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,744.44 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Thunder | 74c | 67,567$49,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,592.15 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4044backed Thunder | 71c | 63,049$44,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,285.87 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Thunder | 71c | 61,522$43,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,862.49 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Thunder | 71c | 52,291$37,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,200.92 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f6…af37backed Suns | 29c | 50,000$14,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,700 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Suns | 30c | 46,098$13,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,810.94 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Thunder | 70c | 45,723$32,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,716.81 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed Suns | 28c | 45,000$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Suns | 29c | 42,663$12,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,572.32 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Thunder | 70c | 40,000$28,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,999.97 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 72c | 38,058$27,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,841.31 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Thunder | 70c | 35,368$24,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,610.55 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Suns | 29c | 35,208$10,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,281.19 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Suns | 30c | 35,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,399.99 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Suns | 29c | 34,250$9,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,862.05 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 70c | 32,729$23,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,695.35 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Suns | 26c | 30,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,799.9 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked Thunder | 72c | 29,998$21,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,399.43 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Suns | 28c | 29,995$8,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,398.57 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Suns | 29c | 29,494$8,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,553.38 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Suns | 30c | 29,252$8,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,772.81 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Suns | 31c | 25,000$7,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,749.99 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Suns | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…eb13backed Suns | 30c | 23,329$6,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,998.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 70c | 22,942$16,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,940.42 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 72c | 22,500$16,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,375 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Suns | 24c | 20,950$4,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,929.52 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Thunder | 78c | 20,788$16,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.59 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Thunder | 71c | 20,356$14,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,967.3 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Thunder | 71c | 20,325$14,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,882.15 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Suns | 30c | 20,016$5,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,904.74 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…af80backed Thunder | 71c | 20,000$14,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.95 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Thunder | 69c | 19,632$13,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,088 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Thunder | 69c | 18,921$13,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,815.24 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Thunder | 71c | 18,800$13,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,452 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Thunder | 71c | 18,505$13,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,428.02 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Thunder | 72c | 18,500$13,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,095.09 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Thunder | 71c | 17,608$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,107.66 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Suns | 31c | 17,000$5,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,234.95 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Thunder | 71c | 16,628$11,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,857.39 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Suns | 28c | 16,000$4,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,449.98 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Thunder | 70c | 15,012$10,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,453.48 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Suns | 30c | 15,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 75c | 13,717$10,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,475.65 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Thunder | 71c | 13,067$9,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,789.43 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked Thunder | 70c | 13,000$9,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Thunder | 71c | 11,257$7,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,264.62 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Thunder | 71c | 11,100$7,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,221.73 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Thunder | 71c | 11,026$7,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,197.64 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Suns | 5c | 11,005$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.29 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Suns | 0c | 11,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Suns | 1c | 10,578$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Suns | 0c | 10,390$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c44…752ebacked Suns | 0c | 10,025$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…a27abacked Thunder | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Suns | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…959abacked Thunder | 75c | 9,732$7,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Suns | 8c | 9,589$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.26 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Suns | 1c | 9,572$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Suns | 29c | 9,313$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.84 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Suns | 28c | 9,044$2,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,532.34 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Suns | 31c | 9,000$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…050cbacked Thunder | 69c | 9,000$6,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,789.99 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed Thunder | 71c | 8,350$5,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.41 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 72c | 8,118$5,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.22 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Thunder | 70c | 8,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Thunder | 71c | 7,665$5,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.85 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thunder | 73c | 7,498$5,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.52 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Thunder | 72c | 7,300$5,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.58 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Thunder | 70c | 7,100$4,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.7 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4a…744abacked Suns | 26c | 7,000$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Suns | 30c | 7,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb5…3fbfbacked Suns | 30c | 7,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Thunder | 70c | 6,542$4,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.41 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Thunder | 71c | 6,461$4,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.56 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked Thunder | 68c | 6,407$4,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.32 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Thunder | 68c | 6,205$4,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.6 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Thunder | 72c | 6,016$4,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.96 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…55d6backed Thunder | 70c | 6,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Thunder | 69c | 6,000$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Suns | 29c | 5,627$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.79 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Suns | 30c | 5,568$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.26 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…453fbacked Thunder | 70c | 5,515$3,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.08 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Suns | 29c | 5,172$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Suns | 31c | 5,050$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938f…f13fbacked Thunder | 71c | 5,005$3,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.45 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Suns | 31c | 5,000$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.22 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Suns | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf32…5159backed Suns | 26c | 4,991$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.66 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Thunder | 71c | 4,980$3,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.2 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bab…cf38backed Thunder | 71c | 4,800$3,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.14 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Suns | 32c | 4,674$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Sunsthis page
- Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Mark Williams: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 215.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 216.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 218.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.