NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a9d0206c9ec045633e5ef7f007762fe70292943dcc0b075c0d67e5b46f368f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $318,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $320,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Thunder | 52c | 95,000$49,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,600 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Thunder | 54c | 44,844$24,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,693.03 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Suns | 48c | 28,435$13,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,689.14 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Suns | 47c | 22,873$10,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,793.28 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Suns | 48c | 18,873$9,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,012.79 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Suns | 50c | 15,362$7,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,644.93 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Suns | 46c | 14,500$6,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,670 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 51c | 13,571$6,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,689.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Thunder | 51c | 13,151$6,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,443.93 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Suns | 49c | 13,111$6,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,424.38 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Thunder | 51c | 10,917$5,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,301.59 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Suns | 47c | 9,900$4,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,653 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Suns | 47c | 9,000$4,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,230 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Thunder | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Thunder | 48c | 8,990$4,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,674.72 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Suns | 48c | 8,138$3,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,906 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Suns | 49c | 7,570$3,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,709.38 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Suns | 48c | 6,658$3,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,186.27 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Thunder | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Thunder | 55c | 5,626$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.14 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Suns | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…ad90backed Thunder | 51c | 3,809$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Thunder | 50c | 3,608$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.1 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Thunder | 51c | 3,266$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.33 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Thunder | 53c | 2,996$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.15 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Thunder | 53c | 2,676$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.05 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Suns | 46c | 2,652$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Suns | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Suns | 51c | 2,002$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.03 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Suns | 53c | 1,534$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.87 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns | 48c | 1,426$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.61 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x663d…7d23backed Thunder | 51c | 1,278$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.43 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Suns | 50c | 1,254$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.6 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 46c | 1,207$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.82 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Suns | 48c | 1,146$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.03 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Suns | 42c | 1,013$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.5 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Suns | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Thunder | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Suns | 45c | 930.49$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.72 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Thunder | 48c | 886.23$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.84 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 50c | 857.14$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.18 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Thunder | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Thunder | 51c | 710$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.9 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…effebacked Suns | 53c | 660$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.8 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Suns | 46c | 644.26$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.2 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Suns | 46c | 626.98$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.41 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Thunder | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 50c | 579.7$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.96 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Suns | 52c | 483.17$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Suns | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Thunder | 50c | 470$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Suns | 49c | 400$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Thunder | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 47c | 383$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.18 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Thunder | 53c | 352.83$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.83 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…2a69backed Suns | 48c | 335$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.8 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Suns | 46c | 311.8$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.36 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…3499backed Suns | 50c | 300$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.46 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Thunder | 53c | 300$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0d…78a5backed Suns | 46c | 258.46$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.89 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Suns | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Thunder | 53c | 249.48$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.25 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Suns | 47c | 248.83$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.95 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Thunder | 51c | 244.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Suns | 48c | 227$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.96 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Suns | 49c | 209$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.41 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Suns | 48c | 206.27$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…3b01backed Suns | 48c | 206.27$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Suns | 53c | 205.66$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 184 | 56%103 W · 81 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Suns | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Suns | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Thunder | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…2975backed Suns | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Thunder | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Suns | 52c | 192.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Suns | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Thunder | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Suns | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Thunder | 47c | 170.64$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.44 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Suns | 50c | 152.91$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.48 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Suns | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Suns | 52c | 149.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.46 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Suns | 50c | 147.08$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.54 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Suns | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Suns | 52c | 134.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Thunder | 48c | 133.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Thunder | 48c | 130.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.82 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Thunder | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Suns | 46c | 119$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Thunder | 52c | 111.04$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…e8b4backed Thunder | 53c | 103.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Thunder | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Thunder | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…5b77backed Suns | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed Thunder | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc871…7d99backed Suns | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 468 | 26.5%124 W · 344 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Thunder | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…7f28backed Suns | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Suns | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…d04fbacked Thunder | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)this page
- Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Mark Williams: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. SunsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 215.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 216.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 218.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.