NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x190067d7b0f97bc7ecd6879647999e9d4991687d39b434ea4a7bc2355bf6a258
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x869f…7a8bbacked Under | 53c | 10,240$5,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,427.18 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Over | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487.5 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 2,116$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.44 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 50c | 2,000$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.28 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 1,844$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 46c | 1,730$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.62 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Over | 51c | 1,550$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.58 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 1,021$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53e7…b945backed Over | 51c | 996.08$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.08 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 45c | 947.78$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.28 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Over | 50c | 851.2$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.6 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Over | 51c | 743.14$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.14 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 45c | 659.41$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.32 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3ae9backed Over | 47c | 633.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.65 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 53c | 470.68$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.46 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…043fbacked Over | 43c | 374.63$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.54 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Over | 49c | 296.08$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.08 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Over | 50c | 236$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 52c | 207.44$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.07 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Under | 28c | 170.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 74c | 147.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 50c | 141.86$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.93 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 50c | 135.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.95 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 55c | 60.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 49c | 57.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…c5f1backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Under | 50c | 41.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa30…c7abbacked Under | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 47c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 59c | 37.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 51c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked Over | 46c | 31.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 51c | 29.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…3b50backed Under | 47c | 23.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4db…fcbbbacked Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 50c | 21.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Over | 56c | 20.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Under | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…11ffbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 216.5this page
- Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Mark Williams: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. SunsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 215.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 218.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.