NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa24fd7a886cca2b4b9e993a7ad5ec51188edc21a05850ef789ad92372a1ea747
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $283,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $281,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Thunder | 48c | 65,000$31,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,800 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…f73cbacked Thunder | 47c | 35,148$16,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,628.18 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Thunder | 48c | 25,214$12,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,006.94 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Suns | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,250 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Thunder | 48c | 20,800$9,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,815.99 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Suns | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Suns | 53c | 19,395$10,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,279.58 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Suns | 51c | 18,854$9,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,679.52 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 48c | 18,022$8,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,370.17 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Thunder | 49c | 16,953$8,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,646.06 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Suns | 52c | 15,035$7,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,818.4 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 52c | 14,761$7,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,722.91 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Suns | 52c | 10,512$5,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,516.24 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Thunder | 47c | 10,130$4,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,319.03 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Suns | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Suns | 53c | 8,922$4,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,716.16 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Thunder | 47c | 7,500$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,975 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a8…8506backed Thunder | 48c | 7,242$3,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,765.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Thunder | 49c | 7,046$3,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,593.64 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Suns | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns | 55c | 4,000$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.59 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 53c | 3,746$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.46 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Thunder | 49c | 3,015$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.65 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Suns | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Suns | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Thunder | 48c | 2,819$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.51 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Thunder | 49c | 2,780$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.8 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3022…3794backed Thunder | 49c | 2,653$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.06 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Suns | 53c | 2,547$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.99 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Suns | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Thunder | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.65 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Suns | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.76 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Thunder | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.99 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Thunder | 47c | 1,390$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.55 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…fe50backed Suns | 53c | 1,342$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Suns | 53c | 1,278$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.73 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Suns | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns | 52c | 1,123$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.01 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Suns | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Suns | 49c | 752$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.48 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Thunder | 48c | 666.67$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.67 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 46c | 600.9$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.49 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda1d…6192backed Suns | 50c | 594.12$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Suns | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Suns | 54c | 500.84$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Suns | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.71 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Thunder | 45c | 470.5$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.78 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…427bbacked Suns | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Suns | 51c | 301.96$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Suns | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03fa…02bbbacked Suns | 35c | 282.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Suns | 52c | 274.55$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.49 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Suns | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Thunder | 51c | 216.93$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Suns | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Suns | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Thunder | 48c | 192.3$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Suns | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Thunder | 48c | 147$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Suns | 53c | 146.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Thunder | 48c | 143.48$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.35 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Suns | 52c | 141.62$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 47c | 136.25$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.01 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5955…f86ebacked Thunder | 47c | 135.31$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Suns | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5304…61cfbacked Thunder | 49c | 128.66$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Thunder | 49c | 119.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.23 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Suns | 53c | 112.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…bfd7backed Thunder | 48c | 104.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5c…655ebacked Thunder | 48c | 104$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.46per pick | 43cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Thunder | 49c | 102.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Suns | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Suns | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Suns | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Thunder | 48c | 90.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Suns | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 47c | 89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Suns | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Thunder | 45c | 71.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Suns | 53c | 67.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Suns | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Suns | 52c | 52.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Suns | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e37…cfbdbacked Suns | 53c | 47.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Suns | 56c | 46.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 367 | 51.5%189 W · 178 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb0…c9f8backed Suns | 53c | 45.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…bc38backed Thunder | 25c | 44.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +202.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Thunder | 50c | 44.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…6e69backed Suns | 53c | 43.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…196ebacked Suns | 43c | 41.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Suns | 51c | 41.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Suns | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Suns | 55c | 39.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Suns | 53c | 39.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Thunder | 50c | 39.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…7340backed Suns | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Thunder | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked Thunder | 47c | 35.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Thunder | 47c | 31.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Suns | 49c | 29.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)this page
- Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Mark Williams: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. SunsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 215.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 216.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 218.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.