NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 213.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cdcc3c70eee3a55c2e138a10267bc3a81f68c766ab564238d30f199d1afe6d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Under | 53c | 27,596$14,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,625.66 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 18,751$8,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,932.02 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Over | 46c | 5,411$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,922.15 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 52c | 5,212$2,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.53 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 48c | 3,744$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…4f4ebacked Under | 48c | 2,919$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 48c | 2,750$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Over | 54c | 2,613$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.05 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Over | 49c | 2,333$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.01 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 2,079$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 47c | 1,832$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.22 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 1,746$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.78 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 1,729$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.44 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 946.73$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.28 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 51c | 785.28$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.49 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 608.54$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.77 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 47c | 360$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.8 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 337$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.61 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 46c | 233.41$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.97 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Over | 49c | 205.53$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.82 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…8083backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…ebf6backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 49c | 196.07$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.07 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Under | 54c | 182.54$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.57 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 128$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 46c | 123.05$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.45 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 54c | 123.05$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc4…7a41backed Under | 54c | 116.04$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.66 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 47c | 109.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.06 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe379…377cbacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe847…b7e2backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 53c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 55c | 48.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Over | 47c | 48.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 54c | 44.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x869f…7a8bbacked Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over | 53c | 32.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 373 | 44.2%165 W · 208 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x281a…7c48backed Under | 54c | 30.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7137…5718backed Over | 47c | 29.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdab9…cdfcbacked Under | 54c | 24.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed Over | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Under | 51c | 20.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 213.5this page
- Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Mark Williams: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. SunsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 215.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 216.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 218.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.