NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c13bb733af412aa66030831f7cbd4fcfc0634f5f23dfeb3627eccba26d73f54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Thunder | 56c | 60,000$33,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,400 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Suns | 44c | 47,127$20,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,755.27 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Suns | 48c | 15,258$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Suns | 47c | 12,644$5,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,940.9 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Thunder | 53c | 7,701$4,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,633.92 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88cb…ea5abacked Thunder | 54c | 5,496$2,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Suns | 44c | 3,863$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.83 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 45c | 3,674$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.61 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Thunder | 50c | 3,342$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.09 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd32…796fbacked Suns | 46c | 2,935$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Thunder | 56c | 2,473$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.63 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8caa…8a3fbacked Suns | 46c | 1,957$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Suns | 45c | 1,889$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 65c | 1,643$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.57 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Suns | 40c | 1,523$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.67 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Thunder | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.98 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Suns | 19c | 1,431$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.86 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thunder | 51c | 1,257$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.78 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Thunder | 56c | 1,139$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.63 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Suns | 45c | 935.76$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.7 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Thunder | 51c | 915$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.42 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Thunder | 56c | 866$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.92 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder | 53c | 857.03$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.86 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Thunder | 60c | 800$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.5 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…f7ebbacked Suns | 48c | 770.65$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -10.1wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 54c | 750.72$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.59 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Suns | 44c | 736.06$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.51 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Suns | 44c | 708.16$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.86 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bef…6f47backed Suns | 47c | 625.15$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.82 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63e2…1557backed Suns | 46c | 604.73$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Suns | 44c | 556.63$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.92 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Suns | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Suns | 46c | 507.28$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Thunder | 54c | 455.35$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.32 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Thunder | 52c | 441$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.45 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Thunder | 52c | 430$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.5 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Suns | 44c | 418.69$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.22 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Thunder | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Suns | 48c | 340.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.47 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Thunder | 54c | 340.74$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.74 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Thunder | 57c | 329.48$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.48 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Suns | 48c | 327.17$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.01 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Thunder | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Thunder | 53c | 260.78$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.57 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Suns | 47c | 242.56$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…9499backed Thunder | 55c | 239.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…66acbacked Thunder | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Thunder | 56c | 201.87$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.69 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Thunder | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Thunder | 55c | 186.67$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Thunder | 62c | 162$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Thunder | 52c | 149$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Thunder | 54c | 147$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Thunder | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Suns | 43c | 127.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b9…0a0dbacked Thunder | 54c | 125.16$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Suns | 42c | 122.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Thunder | 52c | 114.35$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Thunder | 54c | 107.85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.02 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Suns | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Suns | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Thunder | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53aa…07fcbacked Thunder | 52c | 99.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…a63ebacked Thunder | 58c | 95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Suns | 18c | 93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Thunder | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 45c | 77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Suns | 34c | 69.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce3…40f3backed Thunder | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Thunder | 57c | 66.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Thunder | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Thunder | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8177…be85backed Thunder | 53c | 56.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Suns | 44c | 51.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Thunder | 59c | 49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201b…9146backed Thunder | 53c | 42.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Suns | 47c | 41.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Suns | 44c | 40.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Thunder | 53c | 40.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Thunder | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…9acbbacked Thunder | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3da…c91fbacked Thunder | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3714…1af6backed Thunder | 55c | 36.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x971f…fbc8backed Thunder | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Suns | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Thunder | 57c | 35.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Suns | 44c | 30.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x074e…317fbacked Suns | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3207…86d9backed Thunder | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc05e…c64dbacked Thunder | 53c | 28.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Suns | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 236 | 51.7%122 W · 114 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Suns | 41c | 27.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Suns | 44c | 27.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Suns | 44c | 27.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 307 | 43%132 W · 175 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…c5f1backed Thunder | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86dc…2570backed Thunder | 53c | 26.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7109…a765backed Thunder | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x536d…4430backed Thunder | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Thunder | 66c | 18.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)this page
- Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Mark Williams: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. SunsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 215.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 216.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 218.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.