TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7c39…9acb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-60.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$28.4
LoL: Sentinels vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
LoL: Solary vs Galions Sharks - Game 4 Winnerbacked Galions Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$26
LoL: Onion Team vs Orbit Anonymo (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffsbacked Orbit Anonymo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+32.7%+$22.2
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.6%+$12
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.13
LoL: G2 NORD vs Berlin International Gaming (BO5) - Comedy Central Winter Snowdown Playoffsbacked Berlin International Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
LoL: paiN Gaming vs Leviatan Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Play-Inbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+109.1%+$24.06
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.6
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$28.05
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$26.5
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+81.8%+$18
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.7
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Bucks vs. Celticsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.58
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: VARREL vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+62.3%+$11.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+34%+$3.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ostrava Open: Katie Volynets vs Alycia Parksbacked Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$21.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$51.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.