Premier League · resolved market
Bristol City FC vs. Watford FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cd22bda3fa0d1a270cdc3e466691b5fbd1320b665f38e1a07b83a31846cff03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 45c | 951.33$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.86 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 695.05$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.44 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…471fbacked Yes | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 58c | 259.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.71 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca7…0498backed No | 46c | 208.46$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6d…72eabacked Yes | 54c | 205.33$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5730…e57dbacked Yes | 54c | 201.28$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x144c…5134backed No | 46c | 198.15$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 42c | 196.71$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.62 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…5bb8backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…a63ebacked Yes | 54c | 138.02$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…1699backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…9acbbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de4…95d2backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 88.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…2e44backed No | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…3be4backed Yes | 56c | 84.65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa81…44a9backed Yes | 55c | 82.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 78.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab1d…3204backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 45c | 43.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 55c | 41.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3207…86d9backed Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1df…677fbacked Yes | 54c | 38.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…a98cbacked Yes | 54c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10a8…3275backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7707…3873backed Yes | 62c | 28.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50a…a547backed Yes | 55c | 28.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 74c | 26.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bristol City FC vs. Watford FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Bristol City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bristol City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bristol City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bristol City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bristol City FC (-1.5)Watford FC won
- Spread: Bristol City FC (-2.5)Watford FC won
- Spread: Watford FC (-2.5)Bristol City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.