TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xff5e…a98c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
192
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT4557.8%26 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Cirstea (+1.5)backed Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$60.03
Miami Open: Arthur Fils vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$58.67
Miami Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Miami Open: Ethan Quinn vs Jiri Leheckabacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Miami Open: Ignacio Buse vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.8
Miami Open: Raphael Collignon vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Miami Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$49.01
Miami Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Arthur Ferybacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$26.4
Miami Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Miami Open: Marcos Giron vs Martin Landalucebacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Miami Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Miami Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Beatriz Haddad Maiabacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Miami Open: Simona Waltert vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Ajla Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Miami Open, Qualification: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Miami Open, Qualification: Ignacio Buse vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.8
Miami Open, Qualification: Murphy Cassone vs Francesco Maestrellibacked Francesco Maestrelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.62
Miami Open, Qualification: Adam Walton vs Chris Rodeschbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$32.85
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Rybakina (+1.5)backed Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
BNP Paribas Open: Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+59%+$51.9
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)backed Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
BNP Paribas Open: Elina Svitolina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32.54
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
BNP Paribas Open: Sebastian Korda vs Alex de Minaurbacked Sebastian Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12
BNP Paribas Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$14.94
BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Reilly Opelkabacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$23.33
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT2568%17 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$26.43
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.64
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$32.28
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$18.85
Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$25.34
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$45
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Birmingham City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+69.5%+$17.37
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.77
Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.62
Fulham FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.05
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+132.6%+$27.82
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21.17
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$8.92
Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.39
Leicester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.94
Derby County FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.65
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.93
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+108.3%+$20.8
Bristol City FC vs. Watford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.48
Sheffield United FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.87
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+100%+$100
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$44.73
Spread: Magic (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Wizards vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$33.63
Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+84.2%+$29.46
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$34.8
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+49.3%+$17.24
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$33.63
Spread: Heat (-12.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+88.7%+$31.04
Spread: Magic (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+61.3%+$20.84
Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20.95
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+57.7%+$20.19
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 245.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100%+$20
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$106.52
FC Bayern München leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$81.23
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15.03
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20.06
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.87
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12.88
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+69.5%+$14.35
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$24
All 17 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.73
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$107.3
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.77
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on February 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+199.8%+$39.99
Will there be 14–16 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+56.3%+$16.56
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on February 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.16
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+116.1%+$15.09
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or higher on February 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+25%+$6.43
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on February 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on February 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$92.05
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$19.69
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$12.48
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$27.5
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$25.34
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+47.1%+$16.47
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Valencia CF vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.9
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$16.93
Real Oviedo vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.62
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$8.06
FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$13.19
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20.3
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.7
Bologna FC 1909 vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
KRC Genk vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+81.8%+$17.1
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20.58
Ferencvárosi TC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20.88
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. Panathinaikós AO: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+100%+$20
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+100%+$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$78.71
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$81
Will All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.72
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+77%+$38.28
Will "Marty Supreme" win no awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$42.24
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.2
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-68.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$20.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alanyaspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.