TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,113
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,787

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,113 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over48c16,908$8,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,115.8448352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under52c8,693$4,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,172.632,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c5,724$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,973.934,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c3,557$1,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,717.014,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under52c2,802$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.133,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over52c2,654$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.041,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over49c2,520$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.172,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Over52c2,000$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.0834855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under51c1,936$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.615545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under53c1,895$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.769149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under52c1,667$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.1564651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over48c1,633$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.8422648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under54c1,488$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.8840243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Over47c1,271$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60015450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c1,142$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.344,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a58…bcf7backed Over45c1,102$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.6430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under55c1,082$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.483,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under53c1,050$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.51,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Over47c1,050$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.522143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over48c1,046$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over42c894.22$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.5718536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over51c890.77$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.221,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c841.03$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.88,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Over47c808.51$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Under53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37616148.4%78 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c729.41$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3563,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over52c615.81$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.7318650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Over49c610$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.99842.9%42 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under50c604$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3041,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under61c577.67$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.653,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under53c568$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.9617243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over47c563.95$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.6562744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4564944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under48c522.96$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.942,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over47c516$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.5240146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23580737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under52c477$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.2651354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over49c460.87$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2277334.2%25 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under52c397.51$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.426034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over38c395.99$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.250241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c395.88$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.232,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under52c371.33$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.242,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…56a3backed Over46c357.39$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Over23c301.38$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0953149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a32…9875backed Over47c299.58$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.81346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09f5…0138backed Under64c279.99$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over39c260.11$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.063,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Over48c246.96$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5425951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c243.08$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.385,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under52c242.55$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.881,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x044a…1acebacked Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003959%23 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over46c212.87$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.232,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35ca…6b09backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c209.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.822,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under55c200.62$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8190357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10226048.1%125 W · 135 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29de…072cbacked Over53c189.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016862.5%105 W · 63 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f59…bd2dbacked Under59c185.93$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.933663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over46c180.15$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8791846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under48c168.5$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.23,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under58c161.07$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2287744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Under53c160.38$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3856352%293 W · 270 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7e4…a17cbacked Over49c156.37$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.622161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over43c149.34$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8988057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50ab…70a2backed Over46c141$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.864843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over18c116.13$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3565542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over53c114$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6946940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over59c113$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5633554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over53c113$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5461939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over53c112$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5438540.3%155 W · 230 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d2…22fbbacked Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011348.7%55 W · 58 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Under60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3839435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over46c99.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4635739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under48c99.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5295548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under53c99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.531,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.623349.4%115 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Over42c91.69$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5117844.4%79 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over52c80.08$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6437652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under47c78.44$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.31,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under48c75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3978648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under54c73.88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8850351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under48c64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.282,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Under50c59.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9225847.3%122 W · 136 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over34c54.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5310637.7%40 W · 66 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+47.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under53c53.12$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.296956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Under53c51.16$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0439047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under53c48.85$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9627463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x92aa…0341backed Under61c47.62$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5715949.7%79 W · 80 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Over49c46.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7919352.8%102 W · 91 L+11.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf740…cf50backed Over43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010034%34 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbf2…31f0backed Over47c44.6$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217741.6%32 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc0…3acebacked Over47c42.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019848.5%96 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff5e…a98cbacked Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96b0…b331backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.823948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8233442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.