NBA · resolved market
Baylor Scheierman: Rebounds O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6d978968b18892e8ca803abfaeabff86c05869a9c2c6fe1f8b319a2d005d207
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 61c | 352.59$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.83 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed Yes | 40c | 276.07$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…d209backed Yes | 31c | 80.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…c1d3backed No | 69c | 65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 227 | 74.4%169 W · 58 L | +22.5wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…ba97backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8c…db83backed Yes | 32c | 50.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked No | 61c | 34.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed No | 65c | 24.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed No | 62c | 17.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baylor Scheierman: Rebounds O/U 4.5this page
- 76ers vs. CelticsCeltics won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Under won
- Andre Drummond: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Nikola Vučević: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Celtics won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.