TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,158
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,985

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,158 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Over53c3,000$1,590 inLost-$1,59012844.5%57 W · 71 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under50c2,623$1,304 inWon+$1,319.332,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over44c1,924$849 inLost-$848.781,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under59c582.27$341 inWon+$241.533,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under47c484.7$227 inWon+$257.3740243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under52c325.48$169 inWon+$156.233,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over45c318.6$143 inLost-$142.788,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4720…007bbacked Over40c285$114 inLost-$1142250%11 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under60c279$167 inWon+$111.651354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over47c240.61$114 inLost-$113.7265542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under62c228$141 inWon+$87.261,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under47c200$94 inWon+$10691846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over36c178.38$65 inLost-$64.533,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc935…2579backed Under80c148.28$119 inWon+$29.766872.1%49 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c143.89$72 inLost-$71.952,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Under80c100$80 inWon+$2027747.7%132 W · 145 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over38c85$32 inLost-$32.32,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over51c82.56$42 inLost-$41.935,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under48c76$36 inWon+$39.522,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Over36c69$25 inLost-$24.939047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Under74c66.97$50 inWon+$17.3145653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Over42c61.89$26 inLost-$26.1135843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Over19c53.81$10 inLost-$10.32449.4%23 W · 221 L-27.5wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-72.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x827b…906bbacked Under71c50$36 inWon+$14.51457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf740…cf50backed Under77c38.96$30 inWon+$8.9610034%34 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06d9…7cfbbacked Under77c38.96$30 inWon+$8.965966.1%39 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over49c36$18 inLost-$17.644,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Over30c35.54$11 inLost-$10.798937.1%33 W · 56 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under54c32.6$18 inWon+$1529243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Over46c32.6$15 inLost-$151,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21d3…6c27backed Under71c27$19 inWon+$7.832356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0891…32aebacked Under50c20$10 inWon+$101457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa8…627bbacked Under68c17.56$12 inWon+$5.567651.3%39 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a8…642bbacked Under58c17.35$10 inWon+$7.2917466.1%115 W · 59 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.