TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$274,056
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$279,794

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,056 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics49c81,723$39,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,811.351,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Celtics46c52,000$23,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,078.5229650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed 76ers54c50,360$27,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,190.8343148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed 76ers51c44,320$22,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,600.111,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed 76ers52c20,731$10,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,780.1560351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc29e…a2cabacked 76ers52c19,000$9,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,879.993148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed 76ers51c13,093$6,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,677.432,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Celtics48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20016547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Celtics48c9,515$4,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,947.9224942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae5…ead2backed 76ers54c9,219$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked 76ers51c7,777$3,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,966.271,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics46c6,183$2,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,350.532,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked 76ers51c5,987$3,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,053.3528554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed 76ers51c5,826$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.991,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Celtics48c5,277$2,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,744.0824450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked 76ers51c4,706$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40065750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics50c4,653$2,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,344.954,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Celtics50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00012745.7%58 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Celtics49c3,806$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,941.125543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Celtics47c3,641$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,929.5469149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Celtics49c3,266$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665.6564651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Celtics48c3,020$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.0721943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed 76ers51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed 76ers50c2,930$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.763,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Celtics49c2,371$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.8151354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Celtics48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.3338946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed 76ers47c2,066$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.262,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Celtics49c2,030$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.31,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Celtics54c1,717$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.924151.9%125 W · 116 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked 76ers50c1,623$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.3621852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Celtics51c1,600$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7841,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1297…ed45backed Celtics64c1,554$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.531353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Celtics51c1,470$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.671,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Celtics47c1,455$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.1557950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed 76ers52c1,346$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7008751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21df…fdbcbacked 76ers62c1,131$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed 76ers54c1,111$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60012048.3%58 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Celtics49c1,090$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.52,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked 76ers48c1,038$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013754%74 W · 63 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Celtics45c1,022$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.215,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5077…4e7cbacked 76ers50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009733%32 W · 65 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked 76ers50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50039051.5%201 W · 189 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed 76ers50c950$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.981,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked Celtics58c908.49$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.595234.6%18 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed 76ers51c893$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.4354443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics49c821.45$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.398,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics50c788.66$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.714,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Celtics52c750$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.7350653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked 76ers50c747.99$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.5926034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics48c736.33$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.896,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35b5…93c2backed 76ers50c720$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4745…a0b6backed 76ers50c696$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0788…4c60backed Celtics50c692$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9136…8c24backed Celtics50c692$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f2a…6526backed 76ers50c686$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1071…0039backed 76ers50c680$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40dd…3909backed Celtics50c680$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf76c…8cf2backed 76ers50c679$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.7160%0 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x786f…310fbacked Celtics50c676$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d02…4eebbacked Celtics50c670$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+66.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6dc…9f30backed Celtics50c666$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc880…564bbacked 76ers50c660$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb358…e547backed Celtics53c655$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.732755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x016f…18c2backed 76ers50c648$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc27d…2aa9backed 76ers50c644$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1376…54f2backed Celtics50c644$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3222100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97ab…7ed7backed Celtics50c642$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3215100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7877…6ff5backed 76ers50c638$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x853b…6cb1backed 76ers50c630$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b02…4b6ebacked 76ers50c630$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd933…75c9backed 76ers50c628$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad65…6643backed Celtics50c626$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3132100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Celtics48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32564944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x589a…dcb6backed 76ers50c624$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf37e…b1febacked 76ers50c616$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e24…fd62backed Celtics50c614$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06b6…2d6cbacked 76ers50c610$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf712…76d5backed Celtics50c606$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Celtics47c603.99$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.121,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ae1…91b3backed Celtics50c602$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Celtics50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06d8…0c1fbacked Celtics50c596$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8da…972bbacked 76ers50c596$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664b…ff56backed 76ers50c596$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53fd…b2c8backed Celtics50c594$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2972100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bee…e611backed Celtics50c594$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2972100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe0f…2a11backed Celtics50c592$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d61…9cdfbacked 76ers50c590$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f7…be6abacked Celtics50c590$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e7…c1b7backed 76ers50c589$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c51…eb8cbacked 76ers50c586$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Celtics48c580.04$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.223,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5041…818dbacked Celtics51c574.63$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe821…b14bbacked Celtics50c574$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2872100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6227…1888backed 76ers50c570.13$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.071040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1924…f9b6backed 76ers50c570$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f8…3e22backed Celtics50c570$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ba…7daabacked Celtics50c568$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2842100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94a1…4c0abacked Celtics50c562$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x314d…4200backed 76ers50c562$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.