NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c2856892d8a767172b264f46622501ce0bad53298a8beed1bbc91b4cfb2c615
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 54c | 3,800$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 3,164$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.95 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 2,837$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.46 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 51c | 2,800$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.99 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b84…a239backed Under | 53c | 1,903$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.47 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Over | 50c | 1,639$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.51 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 3c | 1,441$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 55c | 1,235$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.5 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 49c | 1,175$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.68 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 819.35$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.09 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 796.64$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.39 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 751.51$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.73 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Over | 50c | 618.32$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.16 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 49c | 608.15$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.99 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 49c | 400$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 50c | 348$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…2c69backed Under | 52c | 336.29$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.29 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 320.02$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.34 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Under | 52c | 309.87$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.87 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 48c | 300$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 50c | 299.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 52c | 201$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.52 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7b…9716backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Over | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 48c | 130.68$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…e952backed Under | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed5…b57dbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x451f…7301backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 52c | 95.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07a0…7a80backed Over | 55c | 73.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 45c | 66.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…aea9backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…09f4backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Under | 51c | 43.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3948…f81bbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…48a4backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 72c | 38.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 54c | 37.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 30.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 48c | 26.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac1…0c17backed Under | 57c | 23.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Over | 50c | 21.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 127 | 66.9%85 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2633…aaefbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.36per pick | 55cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5this page
- 76ers vs. CelticsCeltics won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Under won
- Andre Drummond: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Baylor Scheierman: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Nikola Vučević: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Celtics won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.