TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,797
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,099

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,797 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4b9f…e125backed Celtics52c15,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,199.9911252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers48c9,988$4,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,809.234,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed 76ers48c7,884$3,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,767.813,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked 76ers48c7,397$3,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,545.192,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Celtics52c6,837$3,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,281.541,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked 76ers47c6,242$2,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,933.6228554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed 76ers49c6,122$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00026949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed 76ers48c5,266$2,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,527.511,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Celtics52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4007759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Celtics52c4,986$2,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,398.4945850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Celtics53c4,841$2,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,275.441,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers38c4,804$1,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,847.438,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Celtics54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.981,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Celtics55c3,980$2,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,788.9450653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed 76ers46c3,913$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0865…3dffbacked 76ers56c3,095$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.143751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Celtics51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Celtics51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22512245.1%55 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Celtics51c2,384$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.232,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked Celtics73c2,226$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.028953.9%48 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca9…d946backed Celtics53c2,087$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.413748.6%18 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics44c2,018$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.14,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Celtics51c2,000$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Celtics52c1,971$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.218648.8%42 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked 76ers56c1,805$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.711,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Celtics52c1,772$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.84,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Celtics53c1,700$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79964651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Celtics50c1,687$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.272,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44fd…b634backed Celtics53c1,666$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.131643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed 76ers49c1,664$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.532445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed 76ers47c1,522$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.4558347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Celtics51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73541553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed 76ers45c1,479$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.5527747.7%132 W · 145 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed 76ers48c1,327$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.731,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x177c…bcd1backed Celtics53c1,167$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.441338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed 76ers47c1,008$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.072,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Celtics52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48026149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Celtics52c999.99$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb358…e547backed Celtics57c999.98$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.992755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8fe…9f73backed 76ers47c939.8$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.717044.3%31 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bde…3800backed 76ers55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006755.2%37 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed 76ers48c903.47$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.6787453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Celtics50c850.02$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.0117744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed 76ers46c797.11$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.6717144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Celtics51c778.09$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.0931551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Celtics54c740.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.7420147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers47c684$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.486,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Celtics45c674.48$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.322,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed 76ers45c644$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.81,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0e3…c09fbacked 76ers45c591.11$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2666953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Celtics51c576.92$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.6964944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed 76ers50c555$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.52,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed 76ers45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22552844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Celtics52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.423,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Celtics55c479.64$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.6447651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Celtics55c447.69$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.4689050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 76ers53c405.29$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.933,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed 76ers52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked 76ers58c379.74$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.6615034.7%52 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed 76ers46c361.53$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.573,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed 76ers45c347.21$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.631,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Celtics52c340.06$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.8948054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed 76ers45c334.59$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.572,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked 76ers47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14145646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Celtics54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.781,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed 76ers50c255.41$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.873,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Celtics58c239.95$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9527357.1%156 W · 117 L+0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed 76ers67c237.12$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1604643.5%20 W · 26 L-6.9wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-26%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Celtics54c222.34$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3452146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Celtics49c215.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.981,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc74d…8acabacked 76ers47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014344.1%63 W · 80 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed 76ers47c212.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9724151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Celtics53c212$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6443052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Celtics54c210.93$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.3892058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed 76ers47c200$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9322746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5425…f968backed Celtics54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927041.4%29 W · 41 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Celtics50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10028348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x954b…eb22backed Celtics65c193.6$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7611044.5%49 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9069…9c14backed Celtics54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1914557.2%83 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed 76ers47c156.77$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6376552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked 76ers47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.556547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed 76ers54c142$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6854351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Celtics47c135.25$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.919047.8%43 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Celtics55c127.27$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2772250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Celtics54c124.19$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1326048.1%125 W · 135 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed 76ers57c120.81$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.868657%49 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed 76ers50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6055846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Celtics51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.831947.6%152 W · 167 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf158…aa4bbacked 76ers36c119.28$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.543250%16 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Celtics54c110.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9143447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked 76ers43c109.53$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.126034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed 76ers46c108.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9954549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed 76ers57c105.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Celtics52c102.91$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.516130.4%49 W · 112 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked 76ers48c102.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9823349.4%115 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed 76ers45c101.82$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8291148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c2…cd02backed 76ers47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4712954.3%70 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea33…ae06backed Celtics51c99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5111759.8%70 W · 47 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed 76ers49c99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.511,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c0…d72dbacked Celtics54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.