NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a88b17bd92cc4acd93b6d5fb9576b182e90f3ca5de32a533be2ee26c823e641
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.68 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over | 53c | 1,277$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 1,197$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.29 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 1,156$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.41 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Under | 50c | 955.88$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.94 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 37c | 865.6$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.76 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 63c | 799$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.81 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 47c | 777.36$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Over | 53c | 754.53$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.9 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 709.51$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.04 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 48c | 509.58$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.98 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4720…007bbacked Under | 48c | 285.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.71 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8e…8faabacked Over | 48c | 284.38$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…d5cdbacked Under | 64c | 216$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fb…5707backed Over | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 179.6$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 40c | 175$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.25 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 50c | 142$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62da…2fdabacked Over | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 121.33$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 105.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…0320backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…0076backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 96.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Over | 52c | 95.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 58%141 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Over | 53c | 90.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…c91abacked Over | 52c | 85.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 129 | 61.2%79 W · 50 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…b3edbacked Over | 56c | 53.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed5…b57dbacked Over | 48c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…2985backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…8d6dbacked Over | 50c | 39.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1f…0568backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…b095backed Over | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 43c | 29.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bd…c88dbacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 44c | 27.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 46c | 25.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 67c | 23.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 67c | 18.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5this page
- 76ers vs. CelticsCeltics won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Under won
- Andre Drummond: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Baylor Scheierman: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Nikola Vučević: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Celtics won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.