TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e2c…d5cd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
116
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT5263.5%33 W · 19 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$14.25
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Spread: Pistons (-18.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$25.3
Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$6.8
Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.79
Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 15.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.11
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Spread: Magic (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
1H Spread: Hornets (-10.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$26.45
1H Spread: Hornets (-9.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$31.77
Cason Wallace: Points O/U 7.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.49
Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.98
Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 248.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 15.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.21
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.81
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$11.88
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-7.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$6.5
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$36.35
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.33
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-11.5)backed Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.86
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.82
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 162.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$53.43
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$10.46
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$46.29
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 173.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.52
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 168.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-24.5)backed Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-25.5)backed Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-30.5)backed Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+35%+$12.9
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-7.5)backed Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-27.5)backed Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$14.36
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.34
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 164.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.36
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.98
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$17.7
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.81
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Athletics vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
NRFI: Athletics vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.34
Chicago White Sox vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.06
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-51.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick71cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.8
Blackhawks vs. Islanders: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$8.39
Lightning vs. Kraken: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.51
All 3 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$22.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 on March 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: G2 Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.