MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2427be0bdfae999882811ea6df64e18ca27b7bd7bade4bf7436dabd7ca2fdee4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Atlanta Braves, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 3,970$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.07 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 3,265$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.94 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 501.72$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.62 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 492.27$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.76 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Braves | 24c | 482.03$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 305.77$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.49 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 231.16$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.9 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Atlanta Braves | 41c | 196.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 172.86$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 121.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 121.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 121.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 121.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 101.7$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 76.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 49.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Atlanta Braves | 26c | 48.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Atlanta Braves | 30c | 38.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 31.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…d5cdbacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona DiamondbacksArizona Diamondbacks won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.