TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Hornets, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$219,105
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$222,363

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,105 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94c5…56a7backed Hornets52c110,466$57,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,442.18450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pistons48c94,320$45,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,046.391,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Pistons48c36,052$17,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,604.751,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Pistons48c21,386$10,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,120.5372648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Hornets51c14,083$7,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,182.4426648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Hornets51c10,368$5,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,256.771,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Pistons48c10,127$4,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,266.271,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Hornets52c9,925$5,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,112.291,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Hornets52c7,964$4,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,141.212056.7%68 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf927…2663backed Hornets52c5,439$2,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,828.13666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Hornets51c4,116$2,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.019447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Pistons49c3,957$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.937447.3%35 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Hornets52c3,793$1,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,972.632351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Pistons49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Pistons50c2,910$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,45520843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Hornets51c2,761$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.3419359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Hornets51c2,263$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.1582442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Pistons49c2,058$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.3317356.1%97 W · 76 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Hornets51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02021653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Hornets51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.9172241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Pistons49c1,939$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.7962948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons49c1,902$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.36,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons48c1,831$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.899,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Hornets52c1,714$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.441,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Pistons49c1,583$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.1834953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Pistons49c1,515$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.8728949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons67c1,393$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.238,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Pistons50c1,379$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.6721957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e80…9cebbacked Hornets52c1,341$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.748248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a1a…e54ebacked Pistons50c1,261$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.56058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x872e…e58fbacked Pistons49c1,203$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+54.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Pistons47c1,124$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.671,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb6…e3bbbacked Hornets52c1,121$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.726266.1%41 W · 21 L+9.0wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Hornets52c1,121$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.7229848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8509…e97bbacked Pistons49c999.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.991040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Pistons49c999.97$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9995641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Pistons49c989.18$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.483941%16 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Hornets51c985.83$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.7750954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8988…0251backed Hornets51c951.57$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.3875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Pistons49c899.97$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.831,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Hornets51c860.22$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.7118343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Hornets48c851.06$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.11,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac83…239cbacked Pistons49c835.31$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.011353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24fe…30d5backed Pistons49c799.99$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4081428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-39.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51ce…44c1backed Pistons49c775.52$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.5211451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Hornets52c690.77$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.259255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed Pistons55c582.24$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.114173.2%30 W · 11 L+7.3wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+33.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked Pistons53c563.56$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.2218839.9%75 W · 113 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets51c563.09$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.684,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf38d…18cebacked Hornets56c521.57$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.081020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-65.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5a8c…291fbacked Hornets56c521.57$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.0830%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Pistons50c501.02$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.5110745.8%49 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Hornets52c485.6$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.5115753.5%84 W · 73 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aec…65fabacked Pistons50c408.57$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.291241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Hornets52c398.06$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.9949852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3735…3d9dbacked Pistons50c394.79$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.410737.4%40 W · 67 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Pistons50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19418643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pistons53c383.19$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.832,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Hornets52c373.54$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2451753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Hornets52c373.54$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2417047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf97d…b295backed Hornets52c368.94$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.852035%7 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-33.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5303…83e6backed Hornets51c342.56$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.716647%31 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06d0…7ee5backed Hornets52c312.67$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.595040%20 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Hornets51c291.18$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.511153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd121…6409backed Hornets51c291.18$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9500…dbabbacked Pistons50c291$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Pistons52c289.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7163746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba4b…cc06backed Hornets51c285.47$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.591650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Hornets46c262.46$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.52,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cfb…8333backed Hornets51c220.33$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91c8…61b1backed Pistons50c216.31$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1726…6c90backed Pistons66c212.54$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.22425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-62.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24a2…0a6abacked Hornets48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.884753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Pistons49c200.67$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3451451.9%267 W · 247 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Pistons48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10438242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Hornets50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Hornets52c197.98$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9513151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Pistons49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.936248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Pistons54c197.55$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.5941753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Hornets52c194.24$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10120650%103 W · 103 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Hornets50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9716959.8%101 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb379…7095backed Pistons50c193.22$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.611442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Pistons52c193$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1490650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Hornets51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0647357.9%274 W · 199 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42f2…fdb4backed Hornets51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0611558.3%67 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86ff…5ea8backed Hornets51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.062045%9 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Pistons55c187.84$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2944551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe226…95a5backed Hornets52c186.1$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.779853.1%52 W · 46 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Hornets52c185.87$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6514155.3%78 W · 63 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Pistons51c176.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7324849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Pistons54c173.91$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.851,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Hornets51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.535744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Hornets51c124.37$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4372250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Pistons49c119.91$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1512160.3%73 W · 48 L+13.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Hornets52c114.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7323549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Pistons50c111.78$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.0535052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Hornets36c106.82$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7765630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe7ba…0bc3backed Pistons48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1715650.6%79 W · 77 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Hornets37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3744345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Pistons49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4513644.1%60 W · 76 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.