TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Hornets, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,727
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,804

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,727 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons44c3,034$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.276,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdb4…4039backed Pistons46c1,943$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Pistons48c1,874$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.111,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Pistons54c1,724$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.81,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Hornets53c1,617$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.0595651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hornets56c1,384$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.022,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92f7…b6f7backed Pistons51c1,023$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf38d…18cebacked Hornets54c969.62$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.811020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-65.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons47c934.03$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.219,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Pistons47c577.14$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.181,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Pistons47c555.95$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.944544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed Pistons47c528.14$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.911338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+33.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Hornets57c342.01$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8426048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8cc…015bbacked Hornets52c325.87$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.452572%18 W · 7 L+5.2wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+46.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x305a…7cb9backed Pistons45c280.43$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7e2…f309backed Hornets57c277.65$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e6…145bbacked Hornets53c265.3$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4481…3ce0backed Pistons48c261.58$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.02425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-47.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets58c241.61$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.414,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Pistons40c216.9$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.1413441%55 W · 79 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Hornets55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pistons45c146.05$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.032,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23dc…7520backed Pistons45c129.34$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.14742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Pistons48c123.04$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9840750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc75…5431backed Pistons48c123.04$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.983348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b11…58c9backed Pistons48c123.04$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.983647.2%17 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4940…430dbacked Pistons47c122.43$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.63633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Hornets65c120.51$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5138464.3%247 W · 137 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed0…b5b8backed Pistons48c120.47$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.652240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Pistons51c110.29$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.673,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Hornets53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5348751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Hornets50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Pistons47c97.87$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8649247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Hornets58c97.51$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5435546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Hornets46c96.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5168838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons67c92.9$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.088,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee1d…ccc9backed Hornets54c82.79$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.61850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x263f…c744backed Pistons52c75.49$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2410357.3%59 W · 44 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Hornets54c74.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.341,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Hornets54c74.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3461151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Hornets54c74.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3490650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Hornets54c74.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3444347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Hornets54c74.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3463746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Hornets54c74.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3453348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Hornets54c74.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3471654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Hornets54c74.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3437647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Hornets54c74.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3414640.4%59 W · 87 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Hornets54c74.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.341,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Hornets54c74.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3459250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Hornets54c74.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3441753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Hornets54c74.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3457051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Hornets54c74.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3458953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Hornets54c74.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3429849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Hornets54c74.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3422047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Hornets54c74.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3451647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Hornets54c74.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3456447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Hornets54c72.35$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0711648.3%56 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed Hornets54c72.35$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.075547.3%26 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb68e…30cfbacked Hornets54c72.35$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.073860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Hornets54c72.35$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0723650.8%120 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Pistons54c64.83$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.823369.7%23 W · 10 L+6.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+43.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Pistons46c63.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0845542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Hornets54c63.03$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0336852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bdc…0c38backed Hornets48c61.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.767057.1%40 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Hornets50c58.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.096261.3%38 W · 24 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Hornets48c58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.791,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Hornets50c57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.52,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Hornets49c56.89$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8849249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Hornets58c55.55$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.041,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0b2…dee8backed Hornets61c48.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-61.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x17a3…8cb3backed Hornets47c46.04$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.474254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Pistons46c45.1$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.531,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xd499…7d5bbacked Hornets57c43.08$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.356747.8%32 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Hornets51c39.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2065045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Pistons53c34.19$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2136949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Pistons44c32.43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0834641%142 W · 204 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Hornets60c32.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.526454.7%35 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Pistons45c32.28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.831,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Pistons47c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4339448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe26d…f9a8backed Pistons45c30.94$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.02580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+64.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa567…494fbacked Pistons45c30.64$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Pistons48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.637753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Hornets54c29.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8537853.4%202 W · 176 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca71…340ebacked Pistons45c27.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+42.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba2…f46bbacked Hornets54c27.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.593237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed Hornets56c26.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.68252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd291…a56fbacked Hornets57c25.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.61922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-57%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf3d9…7964backed Hornets55c23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08da…f967backed Hornets55c23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5111…72a4backed Hornets55c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d1e…288cbacked Hornets55c21.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69b7…3200backed Hornets55c20.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.37450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc42…01b2backed Hornets50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011651.7%60 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc504…4a10backed Hornets55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Hornets54c19.51$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.463,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Hornets60c18.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.059644.8%43 W · 53 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.