NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fd89960d874783cf939e5d63238be50db6493bd2733280f7cb479465777d9b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Hornets, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 45c | 6,772$3,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,702.9 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hornets | 15c | 6,536$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.5 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pistons | 58c | 1,950$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.16 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Pistons | 49c | 1,602$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.06 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Pistons | 50c | 1,289$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Pistons | 47c | 1,050$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.5 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Hornets | 49c | 1,016$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.51 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Hornets | 53c | 1,007$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.66 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Hornets | 49c | 988.79$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.51 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa010…98bdbacked Pistons | 51c | 975.79$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Pistons | 53c | 946.63$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.17 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Hornets | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7574…9be2backed Pistons | 43c | 581.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.58 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Pistons | 51c | 577.4$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.95 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 50c | 565.49$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.56 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets | 57c | 552.52$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.56 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8c…291fbacked Hornets | 55c | 530.73$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Hornets | 50c | 450.25$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.08 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Pistons | 44c | 449.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hornets | 53c | 437.4$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.97 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Pistons | 41c | 414.13$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.14 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Pistons | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Hornets | 59c | 292.62$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.65 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Hornets | 50c | 291$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480f…4adabacked Pistons | 47c | 290.46$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f68…11bebacked Hornets | 54c | 289.78$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons | 48c | 274.93$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.96 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe352…96cfbacked Pistons | 43c | 274.29$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe142…3c91backed Hornets | 58c | 272.94$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Hornets | 56c | 272.84$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.19 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Hornets | 55c | 268.88$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.89 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Hornets | 55c | 268.88$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.89 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Hornets | 55c | 268.88$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.89 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Hornets | 55c | 268.88$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.89 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Hornets | 55c | 268.88$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.89 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Hornets | 56c | 264.25$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.98 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Hornets | 56c | 264.25$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.98 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Hornets | 56c | 264.25$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.98 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Hornets | 56c | 264.25$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.98 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Hornets | 56c | 264.25$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.98 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Hornets | 56c | 264.25$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.98 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Pistons | 43c | 255.66$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.73 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pistons | 46c | 241.9$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.63 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38d…18cebacked Hornets | 55c | 226.71$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.69 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Pistons | 47c | 223.37$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.38 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac8…9e67backed Hornets | 54c | 207.09$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.83 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Hornets | 49c | 200.92$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Hornets | 50c | 195.96$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Hornets | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Hornets | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Hornets | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Hornets | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Hornets | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Hornets | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Hornets | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f8…854cbacked Hornets | 59c | 164.02$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Pistons | 42c | 156.38$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.7 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 47c | 125.04$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Hornets | 57c | 117.85$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.17 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Pistons | 56c | 115.48$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Pistons | 48c | 98.41$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Hornets | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Hornets | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Hornets | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Hornets | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Hornets | 59c | 81.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Hornets | 59c | 81.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Hornets | 55c | 81.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Pistons | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31d…e7a4backed Hornets | 50c | 77.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Pistons | 43c | 75.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 346 | 41%142 W · 204 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Hornets | 51c | 75.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Pistons | 47c | 67.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Pistons | 41c | 67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…8278backed Hornets | 59c | 66.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2080…d262backed Hornets | 53c | 64.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…6397backed Pistons | 52c | 62.15$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Hornets | 56c | 60.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Pistons | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Pistons | 48c | 59.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c56…78f9backed Pistons | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x525d…1f1bbacked Hornets | 59c | 48.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd05…687cbacked Pistons | 48c | 48.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b96…7701backed Hornets | 52c | 48.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6313…a6bdbacked Pistons | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Hornets | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 257 | 52.5%135 W · 122 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…401cbacked Pistons | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Hornets | 56c | 37.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Hornets | 58c | 36.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…86debacked Hornets | 53c | 36.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Hornets | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Hornets | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…e467backed Pistons | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4373…6d1cbacked Hornets | 57c | 34.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f74…4adabacked Hornets | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Hornets | 47c | 32.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Hornets | 53c | 32.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pistons | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be5…9d53backed Pistons | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Hornets | 50c | 30.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -17.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)this page
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Coby White: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Grant Williams: Points O/U 6.5No won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 17.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. HornetsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 224.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 244.5Under won
- Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.