TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Hornets: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,543
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,909

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,543 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa9f5…937fbacked Hornets30c378.19$113 inLost-$112.931,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Pistons40c144.84$58 inWon+$8712541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Hornets60c127.21$76 inLost-$76.332,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c8…68d7backed Pistons40c109.2$43 inWon+$65.993951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31c5…270abacked Pistons69c105.78$73 inWon+$32.792035%7 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Pistons69c100.64$69 inWon+$31.220247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Pistons69c100.6$69 inWon+$31.1933159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Hornets60c82$49 inLost-$49.22,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Hornets61c73.99$45 inLost-$45.1317553.7%94 W · 81 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pistons63c53.31$34 inWon+$19.671,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Hornets65c34.4$22 inLost-$22.3623549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Hornets44c32.1$14 inLost-$14.285259.6%31 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x309b…2406backed Pistons50c26$13 inWon+$131216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-62.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked Pistons60c24.4$15 inWon+$9.761070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Pistons69c22.57$16 inWon+$716653.6%89 W · 77 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Pistons66c21.87$14 inWon+$7.5113950.4%70 W · 69 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4d…46e5backed Hornets49c21.49$11 inLost-$10.556132.8%20 W · 41 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.