TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$166,302
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,393

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,302 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under52c116,415$60,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,977.7215545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c24,415$11,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,719.411,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c22,954$11,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,083.739,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Over48c15,478$7,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,429.227852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Under52c13,000$6,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,239.997946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Over49c11,296$5,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,481.8210860.2%65 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+109.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Over48c8,679$4,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,165.842638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c8,600$4,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,146.854,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x162b…3d49backed Over48c5,431$2,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,606.655947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over48c5,409$2,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,596.3834854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Over48c5,235$2,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,512.992842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x047f…6f34backed Over48c4,014$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,926.59666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under50c3,800$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.8549244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over65c3,777$2,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,452.8531643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over48c3,413$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.2230446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over48c2,950$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,416.2419650.5%99 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x768b…bf0fbacked Over48c2,835$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.88540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Over48c2,643$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.7414940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over48c2,018$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.810847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x708a…a0d8backed Over48c1,883$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.894535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over48c1,817$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.922,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c1,482$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.563,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under17c1,443$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.7352230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Under56c1,298$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.617648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.776,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4de…3920backed Over48c1,197$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.37633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Under52c1,179$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.9148845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x239d…daebbacked Under50c1,132$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.5511242.9%48 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under48c1,100$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57245146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8772…7782backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc18b…2624backed Over48c991.57$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.9540%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over48c930.45$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.6219745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c915.09$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.311,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Under52c889.16$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.9511033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Under52c888.69$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.473369.7%23 W · 10 L+6.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+43.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed Over48c697.54$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.825635.7%20 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbaed…5749backed Under52c680.84$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.67052.9%37 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over48c521.48$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.581,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under33c515.14$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.598,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed Under51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2454940.8%20 W · 29 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-27.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over47c492.2$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.762,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Under51c485.3$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.813544.4%60 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under50c472.4$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.264944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over48c394.3$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.261,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe725…2b00backed Under51c380.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.513542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Over52c373.54$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.247441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Over48c370.08$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.9339448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over64c323.83$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.211,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over48c277.56$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.2340146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under52c275.46$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.2263746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over47c266$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.025,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under53c258.61$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.5857650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under52c255.83$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.81,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4880…7a20backed Under52c248$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.94475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Under35c227.1$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14812540.8%51 W · 74 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under33c219.44$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.941,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe741…fc1abacked Under52c208.01$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.854942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe132…ca8dbacked Under51c194.12$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.121747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under52c187.44$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9790650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Over52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1214046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under33c183.77$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.211,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Under53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.185253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c180.14$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.672,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c141.44$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.892,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d03…9d52backed Under53c137.55$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Over50c135.8$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.96663.6%42 W · 24 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under52c130.1$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.451,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bb…a2cdbacked Over49c122.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.851241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0353…863fbacked Under52c114.4$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.46450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c0d…a97dbacked Over48c107.9$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.79250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over64c107.62$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.882,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f47…6397backed Over68c105.59$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.287248.6%35 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over51c104.44$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3923652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4466046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa46d…59c4backed Over50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.512149.6%60 W · 61 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeba1…838bbacked Over49c96.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.52259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over48c96.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.533949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32dd…c881backed Over48c95.23$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.711154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed Under53c95.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7311455.3%63 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x441d…7a4ebacked Over50c95.06$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.536145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Under52c93.72$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9921354%115 W · 98 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under52c93.72$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9959250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under52c93.72$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9941753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.561,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under52c90.92$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6435052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under52c90.92$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6419254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b4e…417cbacked Over48c82.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.532240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Over48c80.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7520237.1%75 W · 127 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78e8…e142backed Under49c78.43$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.964057.5%23 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Under33c74.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.445752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf825…b9ffbacked Under47c72.48$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.423444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4174…8b2abacked Under53c64.18$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb98b…e963backed Under53c62.87$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.55475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+52.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under49c62.67$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9665045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under52c59.73$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6716048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62f7…0e8cbacked Under52c58.51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.22450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Over48c58.13$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.922044.5%98 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under52c58.05$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8644551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under52c55.25$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5271654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.