NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e83c8839e9c7b5538730ad66d83c8d5b9c1d8ed106254180d9126daf42cff79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 49c | 6,100$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,988.97 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 51c | 3,834$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.42 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under | 54c | 1,309$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.2 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Under | 62c | 1,182$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.97 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 29c | 1,181$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.74 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 44c | 1,079$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.8 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 1,050$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.85 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 30c | 1,014$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.41 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 914.07$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.33 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 853.83$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.71 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Under | 53c | 777.44$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.4 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 53c | 653.63$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.21 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 47c | 652.57$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.71 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Over | 48c | 499.76$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.88 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Over | 47c | 412$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 63c | 397.49$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.26 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 51c | 380.48$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.43 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 80c | 334.72$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.94 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…6373backed Under | 51c | 291.18$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37cf…428abacked Over | 50c | 286.15$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Under | 34c | 279.94$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.88 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 70c | 233.02$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.26 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5b…cc75backed Under | 51c | 226.47$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.97 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 64c | 209.85$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.74 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3824backed Over | 50c | 193.67$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.01 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Under | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 7c | 176.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.21 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed Under | 12c | 160.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.61 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 52c | 158.7$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.05 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 39c | 153.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Under | 36c | 132.37$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.21 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Over | 20c | 125.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 14c | 96.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb069…498cbacked Under | 51c | 89.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 59c | 79.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 74.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f3…f727backed Under | 54c | 72.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b84…6accbacked Over | 70c | 70.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 59c | 68.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 44c | 57.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 61c | 57.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Under | 33c | 57.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc05e…5f93backed Under | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 52c | 52.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 48c | 50.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 48c | 50.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 63c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 50c | 48.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…5d91backed Under | 53c | 48.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 53c | 40.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 218 | 43.6%95 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c71…3414backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 52c | 37.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 36.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…d31abacked Under | 36c | 28.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 47c | 27.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Over | 61c | 27.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 26.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 24.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…d762backed Under | 67c | 23.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 50c | 23.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 50c | 22.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 54c | 19.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5this page
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Coby White: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Grant Williams: Points O/U 6.5No won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 17.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. HornetsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 224.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 244.5Under won
- Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.