TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,520
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,337

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,520 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under47c9,763$4,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,189.0325248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over53c5,827$3,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,067.849,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over52c4,297$2,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,245.881,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked Under46c2,158$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.486741.8%28 W · 39 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over61c2,013$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.653,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under7c1,929$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,795.322,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under13c1,068$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.7626337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22fb…d7d6backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5204035%14 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under50c982.08$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.021,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8509…e97bbacked Over52c971.2$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.021040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under48c970$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.444740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5eb…9120backed Under50c970$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under13c960.65$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.991,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under23c954.36$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.9152230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under9c945.56$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.741,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under40c570.55$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.371,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over55c486.5$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.5830641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over53c409.3$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.9331046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over53c329.54$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.041,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under35c316.58$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.823,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1591,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Over50c299.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.735143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5756…fe3dbacked Over52c275.82$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe568…27a9backed Under50c262.87$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over56c227.61$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4647651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under46c215.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.7429344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Under46c210.35$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5913544.4%60 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over16c202$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.978639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c197.32$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.634,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e14…fcd1backed Over52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.12955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over75c180.2$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.578,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under48c157.5$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.981349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24e4…0478backed Over55c138.1$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.478850%44 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Over54c131$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7439448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under48c125.87$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8865045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over54c118$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.411,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under13c105.55$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.151,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…e2b8backed Over76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7640%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under43c98.42$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.137848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fba…26dcbacked Under46c96.76$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.259361.3%57 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Over51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5314444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeba1…44dfbacked Under53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.094641.3%19 W · 27 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Under46c75.7$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.886261.3%38 W · 24 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Under24c65.76$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.858937.1%33 W · 56 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over54c62.33$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8193543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8382…7d24backed Over51c60.9$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.06862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over53c59.45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5149249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over77c53.61$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2252053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bfd…f319backed Over76c48.72$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0311143.2%48 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under58c48.15$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.396274.2%46 W · 16 L+11.3wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+27.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4533…e6bbbacked Over55c44.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.334148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over52c40.46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0415849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8858…ed3ebacked Over51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.413638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid+51.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeced…660cbacked Over51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9466…1f15backed Over52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4220847.1%98 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over58c36.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over52c36.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0210743%46 W · 61 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under63c35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9240440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under63c34.41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.761,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb333…e295backed Under47c32.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.471855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a9…73debacked Under50c28.07$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.042857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0c7…4459backed Over72c27.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5311753.8%63 W · 54 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Under46c24.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.067946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe425…2eb0backed Under49c23.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.87862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa025…3a9fbacked Under49c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5db9…190ebacked Over52c22.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9540%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x91da…9583backed Over78c22.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c2…5160backed Under49c22.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.37862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb8e…58f6backed Under49c22.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce46…de22backed Under49c21.33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd766…6ed5backed Under49c21.33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.88666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae5f…4cb3backed Under49c21.33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.88666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…2427backed Over51c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.71633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-45.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under63c20.91$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7245544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4188…8737backed Over51c20.38$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x276d…b208backed Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-70.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06e0…757cbacked Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa94b…8290backed Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over79c19.74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.542,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over58c18.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.561,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over58c18.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5635052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over58c18.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5644551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.