TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,686
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,449

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,686 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf2f6…5817backed Under44c9,040$3,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,062.57946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc452…7234backed Over56c8,693$4,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8681844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over54c3,201$1,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.381,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Over1c1,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.31236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under43c978.28$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.959,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over56c860.96$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.143246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over57c752.01$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.6595452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c699.92$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.951,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under40c595.17$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.935,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under13c520.89$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.5252230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under44c483.63$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.841,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under39c467.49$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.553,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Under47c451.89$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.57648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaed…5749backed Under45c451.63$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.47052.9%37 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Under44c439.75$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.4813544.4%60 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaced…e23abacked Over57c423.01$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.114535.6%16 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under39c347.93$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.2421147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under37c315.37$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.6868838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over60c292.8$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.6844345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under29c287.22$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.931,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Under76c260.26$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1621640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c227.07$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.148,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over28c211.07$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3478639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under45c186.54$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.64,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under45c173.14$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.2257650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over57c170.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.421662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under38c169$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.786,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under46c164.34$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.7481349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9093…188ebacked Under47c150.96$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.01757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over62c145.47$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.51,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under44c113.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3865045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over34c108.3$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3980440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over56c106.92$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8823549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over19c100.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0365630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over57c85.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7111253.6%60 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under40c84.74$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8517250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1150…abe0backed Over58c84.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.743560%21 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9023…1143backed Over58c84.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.743050%15 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under40c80.63$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.381,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over57c78.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5196956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Under45c77.36$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.556261.3%38 W · 24 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over54c76.58$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2544347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over54c76.58$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2535052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d6…aedbbacked Over75c76.34$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2510657.5%61 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over58c75.06$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8829046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under42c69.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.13,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0836…92f1backed Over56c68.76$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.51850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3b5…5b6abacked Under43c68.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.731442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Over57c67.83$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.433844.7%17 W · 21 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-22.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x721b…a873backed Over58c67.23$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.992254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed Under45c65.43$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9911455.3%63 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6937753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under50c58.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.433159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d03…9d52backed Under45c52.55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ee…0f22backed Under42c49.23$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5538736.4%141 W · 246 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over55c49.22$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0715849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under38c48$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7639041%160 W · 230 L-32.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb98b…e963backed Under45c43.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.95475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+52.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed Over57c41.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4615947.8%76 W · 83 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Over57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.816953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Over33c39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8524936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0968…18bfbacked Over58c37.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.49922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.34per pick56cpaid-67.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x46b1…3170backed Under43c35.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.414242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc91a…6630backed Under45c35.31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.42560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Over58c34.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.966656.1%37 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb333…e295backed Under45c34.38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.911855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8190…27b4backed Over57c34.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.483863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over58c33.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.521952.5%115 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f92…aa05backed Under47c32.92$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.45683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+73%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over54c32.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3863746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4174…8b2abacked Under45c32.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.732100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7363…1198backed Under47c32.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.03580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+65%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7dc5…d7d4backed Under47c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.43540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa734…f94dbacked Under47c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb109…04debacked Over53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a0…9327backed Under47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.94100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb315…40f3backed Under47c29.81$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Under50c29.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8411232.1%36 W · 76 L-17.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb700…5a62backed Over54c29.66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0217660.8%107 W · 69 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebb6…d5d2backed Under47c29.05$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f06…9967backed Under47c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.37757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd291…a56fbacked Over54c28.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.56922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-57%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Under44c28.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8220558.5%120 W · 85 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4583…858dbacked Under47c27.11$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.372100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over42c26.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1616369.9%114 W · 49 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4976…9568backed Over53c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.78450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc87…b568backed Under47c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.78540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a0…51babacked Under47c25.59$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over54c25.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6253348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b69…2161backed Under47c25.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.341258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f9…f5a5backed Under47c24.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc459…ac19backed Under48c24.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.752050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over53c23.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3671752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…b7cabacked Under47c23.24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.32540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b7e…e5bcbacked Under47c23.24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48a1…862ebacked Under47c23.24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd5…5bd0backed Under47c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.19580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+38.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f9e…2fd5backed Over53c22.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.85650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac78…51bbbacked Over53c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.