NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66c05b4c18c8bad3c1760e5a9a0e88bf597eb6699c60ce9efb3599ee4c7f10c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 4,591$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295.42 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 51c | 2,348$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.42 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Under | 48c | 2,019$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.93 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…5291backed Under | 49c | 1,950$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.37 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 1,616$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.47 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.07 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 49c | 1,375$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.35 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 51c | 1,349$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.44 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Under | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 755.37$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.11 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 74c | 591.22$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.61 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 9c | 538.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.86 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over | 55c | 477.65$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.71 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 331.2$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.91 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…81ffbacked Under | 35c | 259.07$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.68 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 51c | 211.76$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 51c | 204.66$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.87 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Under | 49c | 197.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 194.23$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.12 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 50c | 174.6$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 51c | 159.86$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.53 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 62c | 127.04$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…e97bbacked Under | 47c | 121.96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 51c | 117.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 108$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 39c | 103.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.39 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 99.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 47c | 95.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.83 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 47c | 95.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.83 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…fc1abacked Over | 51c | 93.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 23c | 87.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 46c | 80.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 49c | 80.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Over | 62c | 78.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 51c | 60.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 51c | 58.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Under | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Over | 51c | 52.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 50c | 49.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd946…0d96backed Under | 48c | 47.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 48c | 46.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec3…2c88backed Over | 54c | 43.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 52c | 41.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Under | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 51c | 40.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 238 | 40.8%97 W · 141 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…5d91backed Under | 50c | 39.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45a8…82e1backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 36.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 51c | 34.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Under | 34c | 33.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 49c | 32.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 51c | 30.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 51c | 30.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 51c | 30.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 51c | 30.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 51c | 30.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe909…465ebacked Over | 51c | 29.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 48c | 25.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 51c | 23.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Under | 50c | 23.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 51c | 22.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 51c | 22.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 51c | 22.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 51c | 22.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…70d3backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 224.5this page
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Coby White: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Grant Williams: Points O/U 6.5No won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 17.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. HornetsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 244.5Under won
- Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.