TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Hornets, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,895
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,375

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,895 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaca2…b9a1backed Pistons46c9,725$4,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,262.2832846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Hornets53c7,792$4,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,133.037852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets54c4,399$2,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,353.959,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aec…65fabacked Pistons46c2,858$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.381241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hornets54c2,723$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.292,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77d4…3983backed Pistons47c2,200$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1661770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+35.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons46c2,189$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.856,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons49c2,114$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.83,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Pistons45c1,912$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.51,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Pistons57c1,848$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.691,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Hornets55c1,751$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.2764651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Pistons48c1,591$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.268948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe53c…ee05backed Hornets49c1,340$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.274032.5%13 W · 27 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Hornets53c1,294$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.0834854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets55c1,210$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.314,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x981c…306fbacked Hornets40c1,207$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.983661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x950a…fca5backed Pistons51c1,029$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.631936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8509…e97bbacked Pistons47c999.99$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5301040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Pistons47c999.99$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.9979650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Pistons45c964.35$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.891,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Pistons46c909.91$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.351,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pistons56c891.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.082,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb5f…39c7backed Hornets56c801.72$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.977152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Pistons49c680.84$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.911,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Pistons61c652.37$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.071,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc426…20b4backed Hornets54c599.98$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.991747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Pistons52c560.31$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.9513547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Pistons44c560$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.672648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Hornets55c486.5$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.5821653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Pistons58c466.1$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.784953.1%26 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets42c399.73$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.278,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Hornets54c393$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.2211242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Hornets50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19438152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Pistons55c386.08$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.623,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Pistons54c360.7$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.2320963.2%132 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Pistons50c356.06$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.033732.4%12 W · 25 L-6.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-43.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd5eb…9120backed Pistons50c356.06$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.03450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons45c320.27$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.454,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf05c…84e6backed Hornets55c248.12$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Hornets55c247.67$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.2219548.7%95 W · 100 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…7a57backed Pistons46c241.9$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hornets36c232.81$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.232,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Hornets55c199.86$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9210348.5%50 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Hornets49c187.13$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.762744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Hornets41c180.98$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0515034.7%52 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Pistons46c179.46$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5234953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8372…b075backed Hornets55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.31650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d6…2245backed Hornets54c171.32$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.51837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Pistons44c159.87$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.521,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Pistons50c147.29$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.189850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Pistons57c146.13$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.841,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa517…a62dbacked Pistons54c138.73$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.141877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.7wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+50.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Pistons54c137.79$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.163,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21af…6ba0backed Hornets56c123.96$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.42825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-58.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Pistons47c116.18$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5854246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Hornets55c110.83$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.61,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Hornets55c108.8$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8423549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pistons51c108.22$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.422,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked Pistons47c104.48$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3815154.3%82 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Pistons61c97.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.099338.7%36 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Hornets45c96.7$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5268838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Hornets42c96.52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5491846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Hornets55c94.97$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2339448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons50c94.2$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.12,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17a3…8cb3backed Hornets56c91.38$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.064254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2f32…ab75backed Hornets55c88.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.658156.8%46 W · 35 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xacff…3872backed Hornets56c86.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.686056.7%34 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Hornets56c85.39$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8276552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Pistons55c82.77$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9136949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x729c…2b1ebacked Pistons46c82.71$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6626354%142 W · 121 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Pistons45c78.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2111648.3%56 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Pistons45c78.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2151647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f47…6397backed Hornets37c76.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.487248.6%35 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Pistons46c76.9$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5323445.7%107 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf6…a9aabacked Hornets54c68.43$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.952927.6%8 W · 21 L-6.4wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-45.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Pistons46c63.43$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2525348.6%123 W · 130 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Hornets45c59.93$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.991,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xfef5…4e98backed Hornets55c56.61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.141936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Pistons52c56.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8945542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Hornets56c53.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9826450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hornets53c51.08$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.863,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Hornets52c51.02$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5314946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Pistons46c49.29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6144347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc670…8cf8backed Hornets50c48.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.254440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Pistons45c47.36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0541753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…1df6backed Hornets55c44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.29549.5%47 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Pistons45c41.06$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.581,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed Hornets45c39.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9911059.1%65 W · 45 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe10c…cad0backed Hornets54c36.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.451346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a4…78a2backed Pistons45c35.82$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.75152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Pistons46c35.81$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.341,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9816…8ff4backed Hornets55c35.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.466558.5%38 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Hornets45c35.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6816020%32 W · 128 L-27.0wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-42.7%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Hornets39c32.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5559250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Pistons46c32.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2958953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Pistons45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.565630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Hornets55c29.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0587950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Pistons45c26.48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5744551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59b4…73e0backed Pistons48c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.41553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+63.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Pistons46c23.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0434641%142 W · 204 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.